Essex Property (Germany) Market Value

EXP Stock  EUR 246.60  0.80  0.32%   
Essex Property's market value is the price at which a share of Essex Property trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Essex Property Trust investors about its performance. Essex Property is trading at 244.70 as of the 19th of July 2025. This is a 0.32 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 244.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Essex Property Trust and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Essex Property over a given investment horizon. Check out Essex Property Correlation, Essex Property Volatility and Essex Property Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Essex Property.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Essex Property's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Essex Property is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Essex Property's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Essex Property 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Essex Property's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Essex Property.
0.00
04/20/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Essex Property on April 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Essex Property Trust or generate 0.0% return on investment in Essex Property over 90 days. Essex Property is related to or competes with Peoples Insurance, LIFENET INSURANCE, Tradeweb Markets, and TRADEGATE. Essex Property Trust, Inc., an SP 500 company, is a fully integrated real estate investment trust that acquires, develop... More

Essex Property Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Essex Property's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Essex Property Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Essex Property Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Essex Property's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Essex Property's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Essex Property historical prices to predict the future Essex Property's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
245.26246.60247.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
205.22206.56271.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
251.71253.04254.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
238.19243.23248.26
Details

Essex Property Trust Backtested Returns

At this point, Essex Property is very steady. Essex Property Trust secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.042, which denotes the company had a 0.042 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Essex Property Trust, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Essex Property's Downside Deviation of 1.37, mean deviation of 0.969, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2381.81 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0562%. Essex Property has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Essex Property are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Essex Property is likely to outperform the market. Essex Property Trust right now shows a risk of 1.34%. Please confirm Essex Property Trust potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if Essex Property Trust will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.11  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Essex Property Trust has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Essex Property time series from 20th of April 2025 to 4th of June 2025 and 4th of June 2025 to 19th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Essex Property Trust price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Essex Property price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.11
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.35

Essex Property Trust lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Essex Property stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Essex Property's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Essex Property returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Essex Property has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Essex Property regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Essex Property stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Essex Property stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Essex Property stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Essex Property Lagged Returns

When evaluating Essex Property's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Essex Property stock have on its future price. Essex Property autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Essex Property autocorrelation shows the relationship between Essex Property stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Essex Property Trust.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Essex Stock

When determining whether Essex Property Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Essex Property's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Essex Property's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Essex Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Essex Property Correlation, Essex Property Volatility and Essex Property Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Essex Property.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Essex Property technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Essex Property technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Essex Property trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...