First Trust Germany Etf Market Value
| FGM Etf | USD 52.65 0.85 1.64% |
| Symbol | First |
The market value of First Trust Germany is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
First Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Trust's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Trust.
| 04/20/2025 |
| 05/20/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Trust on April 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Trust Germany or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Trust over 30 days. First Trust is related to or competes with First Trust, First Trust, First Trust, First Trust, and First Trust. The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks, depositary receipts, real esta... More
First Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Trust's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Trust Germany upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1822 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.85 |
First Trust Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Trust historical prices to predict the future First Trust's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2698 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3288 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.417 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1953 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.85) |
First Trust Germany Backtested Returns
First Trust appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. First Trust Germany secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which denotes the etf had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Trust Germany, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize First Trust's Mean Deviation of 1.45, downside deviation of 2.04, and Coefficient Of Variation of 631.96 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.12, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Trust is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.67 |
Good predictability
First Trust Germany has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Trust time series from 20th of April 2025 to 5th of May 2025 and 5th of May 2025 to 20th of May 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Trust Germany price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current First Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.67 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.85 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.24 |
First Trust Germany lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is First Trust etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting First Trust's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of First Trust returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that First Trust has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
First Trust regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If First Trust etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if First Trust etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in First Trust etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
First Trust Lagged Returns
When evaluating First Trust's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of First Trust etf have on its future price. First Trust autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, First Trust autocorrelation shows the relationship between First Trust etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in First Trust Germany.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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First Trust technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.