First Sentier American Fund Market Value

FLIAX Fund  USD 10.62  0.14  1.34%   
First Sentier's market value is the price at which a share of First Sentier trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of First Sentier American investors about its performance. First Sentier is trading at 10.62 as of the 20th of July 2025; that is 1.34 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.48.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of First Sentier American and determine expected loss or profit from investing in First Sentier over a given investment horizon. Check out First Sentier Correlation, First Sentier Volatility and First Sentier Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on First Sentier.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between First Sentier's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Sentier is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Sentier's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

First Sentier 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Sentier's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Sentier.
0.00
04/21/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in First Sentier on April 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Sentier American or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Sentier over 90 days. First Sentier is related to or competes with Siit High, Lord Abbett, T Rowe, Prudential High, Aggressive Balanced, and Artisan High. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in publicly traded equity securities ... More

First Sentier Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Sentier's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Sentier American upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

First Sentier Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Sentier's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Sentier's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Sentier historical prices to predict the future First Sentier's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8810.6211.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8110.5511.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8210.5611.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3410.4710.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Sentier. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Sentier's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Sentier's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Sentier American.

First Sentier American Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider First Mutual Fund to be very steady. First Sentier American secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which denotes the fund had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for First Sentier American, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm First Sentier's Mean Deviation of 0.6067, coefficient of variation of 984.76, and Downside Deviation of 0.8732 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.45, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Sentier's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Sentier is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

First Sentier American has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Sentier time series from 21st of April 2025 to 5th of June 2025 and 5th of June 2025 to 20th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Sentier American price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current First Sentier price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

First Sentier American lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is First Sentier mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting First Sentier's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of First Sentier returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that First Sentier has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

First Sentier regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If First Sentier mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if First Sentier mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in First Sentier mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

First Sentier Lagged Returns

When evaluating First Sentier's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of First Sentier mutual fund have on its future price. First Sentier autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, First Sentier autocorrelation shows the relationship between First Sentier mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in First Sentier American.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund

First Sentier financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Sentier security.
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