Fintech SA (Poland) Market Value
FTH Stock | 0.08 0 2.34% |
Symbol | Fintech |
Fintech SA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fintech SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fintech SA.
04/24/2025 |
| 07/23/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fintech SA on April 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fintech SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fintech SA over 90 days. Fintech SA is related to or competes with Alior Bank, Kool2play, Santander Bank, BNP Paribas, and Carlson Investments. More
Fintech SA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fintech SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fintech SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 2.37 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 26.71 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.46) | |||
Potential Upside | 4.94 |
Fintech SA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fintech SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fintech SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fintech SA historical prices to predict the future Fintech SA's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0343 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.0629 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.64) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.4036 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fintech SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fintech SA Backtested Returns
Currently, Fintech SA is out of control. Fintech SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0374, which denotes the company had a 0.0374 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Fintech SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Fintech SA's Mean Deviation of 2.22, coefficient of variation of 3402.43, and Downside Deviation of 2.37 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. Fintech SA has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.27, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fintech SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fintech SA is expected to be smaller as well. Fintech SA right now shows a risk of 4.17%. Please confirm Fintech SA sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Fintech SA will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.46 |
Modest reverse predictability
Fintech SA has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fintech SA time series from 24th of April 2025 to 8th of June 2025 and 8th of June 2025 to 23rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fintech SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Fintech SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.46 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.59 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.0 |
Fintech SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Fintech SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fintech SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fintech SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fintech SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Fintech SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fintech SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fintech SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fintech SA stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Fintech SA Lagged Returns
When evaluating Fintech SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fintech SA stock have on its future price. Fintech SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fintech SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fintech SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fintech SA.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Pair Trading with Fintech SA
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Fintech SA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fintech SA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Fintech Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Fintech SA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Fintech SA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Fintech SA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Fintech SA to buy it.
The correlation of Fintech SA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Fintech SA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Fintech SA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Fintech SA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Fintech Stock Analysis
When running Fintech SA's price analysis, check to measure Fintech SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fintech SA is operating at the current time. Most of Fintech SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fintech SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fintech SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fintech SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.