Arthur J (Germany) Market Value
| GAH Stock | EUR 269.20 3.80 1.43% |
| Symbol | Arthur |
Arthur J 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arthur J's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arthur J.
| 04/22/2025 |
| 07/21/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Arthur J on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arthur J Gallagher or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arthur J over 90 days. Arthur J is related to or competes with Marsh McLennan, Aon PLC, Willis Towers, Brown Brown, Steadfast Group, and CRAWFORD +. Gallagher Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance brokerage, consulting, and third party claims settleme... More
Arthur J Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arthur J's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arthur J Gallagher upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.64 |
Arthur J Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arthur J's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arthur J's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arthur J historical prices to predict the future Arthur J's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.42) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9819 |
Arthur J Gallagher Backtested Returns
Arthur J Gallagher secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.052, which signifies that the company had a -0.052 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Arthur J Gallagher exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Arthur J's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), mean deviation of 1.38, and Standard Deviation of 1.82 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Arthur J are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Arthur J is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Arthur J Gallagher has a negative expected return of -0.0922%. Please make sure to confirm Arthur J's total risk alpha, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and skewness , to decide if Arthur J Gallagher performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.36 |
Poor reverse predictability
Arthur J Gallagher has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arthur J time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arthur J Gallagher price movement. The serial correlation of -0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Arthur J price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.36 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.46 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 32.78 |
Arthur J Gallagher lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Arthur J stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Arthur J's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Arthur J returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Arthur J has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Arthur J regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Arthur J stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Arthur J stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Arthur J stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Arthur J Lagged Returns
When evaluating Arthur J's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Arthur J stock have on its future price. Arthur J autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Arthur J autocorrelation shows the relationship between Arthur J stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Arthur J Gallagher.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Arthur Stock
When determining whether Arthur J Gallagher is a strong investment it is important to analyze Arthur J's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Arthur J's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Arthur Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Arthur J Correlation, Arthur J Volatility and Arthur J Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Arthur J. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Arthur J technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.