Hilton Metal (India) Market Value

HILTON Stock   65.03  0.07  0.11%   
Hilton Metal's market value is the price at which a share of Hilton Metal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hilton Metal Forging investors about its performance. Hilton Metal is trading at 65.03 as of the 19th of July 2025, a 0.11 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 65.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hilton Metal Forging and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hilton Metal over a given investment horizon. Check out Hilton Metal Correlation, Hilton Metal Volatility and Hilton Metal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hilton Metal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilton Metal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hilton Metal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilton Metal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hilton Metal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hilton Metal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hilton Metal.
0.00
04/20/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hilton Metal on April 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hilton Metal Forging or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hilton Metal over 90 days. Hilton Metal is related to or competes with MRF, Vardhman Holdings, Bosch, Abbott India, Page Industries, FORCE MOTORS, and Honeywell Automation. Hilton Metal is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Hilton Metal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hilton Metal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hilton Metal Forging upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hilton Metal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hilton Metal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hilton Metal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hilton Metal historical prices to predict the future Hilton Metal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.1065.0468.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.5755.5171.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.6762.6266.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.0564.1768.29
Details

Hilton Metal Forging Backtested Returns

At this point, Hilton Metal is very steady. Hilton Metal Forging holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0108, which attests that the entity had a 0.0108 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Hilton Metal Forging, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Hilton Metal's Downside Deviation of 3.36, market risk adjusted performance of 0.06, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0149 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0425%. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.41, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Hilton Metal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hilton Metal is expected to be smaller as well. Hilton Metal Forging right now retains a risk of 3.94%. Please check out Hilton Metal semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Hilton Metal will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.71  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Hilton Metal Forging has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hilton Metal time series from 20th of April 2025 to 4th of June 2025 and 4th of June 2025 to 19th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hilton Metal Forging price movement. The serial correlation of -0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Hilton Metal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.71
Spearman Rank Test-0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance20.42

Hilton Metal Forging lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hilton Metal stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hilton Metal's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hilton Metal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hilton Metal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hilton Metal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hilton Metal stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hilton Metal stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hilton Metal stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hilton Metal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hilton Metal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hilton Metal stock have on its future price. Hilton Metal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hilton Metal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hilton Metal stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hilton Metal Forging.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Hilton Stock

Hilton Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hilton Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hilton with respect to the benefits of owning Hilton Metal security.