DR Horton (Germany) Market Value
HO2 Stock | EUR 113.94 1.14 1.01% |
Symbol | HO2 |
DR Horton 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to DR Horton's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of DR Horton.
04/21/2025 |
| 07/20/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in DR Horton on April 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DR Horton or generate 0.0% return on investment in DR Horton over 90 days. DR Horton is related to or competes with MEDICAL FACILITIES, PULSION Medical, Boston Beer, Tsingtao Brewery, Inspire Medical, China Medical, and XTANT MEDICAL. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, Midwest, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and West regions ... More
DR Horton Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure DR Horton's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DR Horton upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 1.91 | |||
Information Ratio | 6.0E-4 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 12.74 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.54) | |||
Potential Upside | 4.1 |
DR Horton Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for DR Horton's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as DR Horton's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use DR Horton historical prices to predict the future DR Horton's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0615 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.2157 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
Sortino Ratio | 7.0E-4 | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.21) |
DR Horton Backtested Returns
At this point, DR Horton is very steady. DR Horton retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0718, which denotes the company had a 0.0718 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for DR Horton, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm DR Horton's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20), downside deviation of 1.91, and Standard Deviation of 2.4 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. DR Horton has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.64, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning DR Horton are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, DR Horton is likely to outperform the market. DR Horton today owns a risk of 2.42%. Please confirm DR Horton downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if DR Horton will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | -0.42 |
Modest reverse predictability
DR Horton has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between DR Horton time series from 21st of April 2025 to 5th of June 2025 and 5th of June 2025 to 20th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DR Horton price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current DR Horton price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.42 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.38 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 15.97 |
DR Horton lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is DR Horton stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting DR Horton's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of DR Horton returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that DR Horton has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
DR Horton regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If DR Horton stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if DR Horton stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in DR Horton stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
DR Horton Lagged Returns
When evaluating DR Horton's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of DR Horton stock have on its future price. DR Horton autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, DR Horton autocorrelation shows the relationship between DR Horton stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DR Horton.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in HO2 Stock
When determining whether DR Horton offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of DR Horton's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dr Horton Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dr Horton Stock:Check out DR Horton Correlation, DR Horton Volatility and DR Horton Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on DR Horton. For more detail on how to invest in HO2 Stock please use our How to Invest in DR Horton guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
DR Horton technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.