John Hancock Tax Fund Market Value

HTD Fund  USD 23.71  0.39  1.62%   
John Hancock's market value is the price at which a share of John Hancock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of John Hancock Tax investors about its performance. John Hancock is trading at 23.71 as of the 19th of July 2025, a 1.62 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's lowest day price was 23.71.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of John Hancock Tax and determine expected loss or profit from investing in John Hancock over a given investment horizon. Check out John Hancock Correlation, John Hancock Volatility and John Hancock Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on John Hancock.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between John Hancock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if John Hancock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, John Hancock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

John Hancock 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to John Hancock's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of John Hancock.
0.00
04/20/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in John Hancock on April 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding John Hancock Tax or generate 0.0% return on investment in John Hancock over 90 days. John Hancock is related to or competes with Eaton Vance, John Hancock, John Hancock, John Hancock, and John Hancock. John Hancock Tax-Advantaged Dividend Income Fund is a closed ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by John Hanco... More

John Hancock Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure John Hancock's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess John Hancock Tax upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

John Hancock Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for John Hancock's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as John Hancock's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use John Hancock historical prices to predict the future John Hancock's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of John Hancock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.7623.6724.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.3424.7125.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.7723.6824.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.2823.7824.28
Details

John Hancock Tax Backtested Returns

At this point, John Hancock is very steady. John Hancock Tax holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.21, which attests that the entity had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for John Hancock Tax, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out John Hancock's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2623, risk adjusted performance of 0.1607, and Downside Deviation of 0.9018 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.6, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, John Hancock's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding John Hancock is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.36  

Below average predictability

John Hancock Tax has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between John Hancock time series from 20th of April 2025 to 4th of June 2025 and 4th of June 2025 to 19th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of John Hancock Tax price movement. The serial correlation of 0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current John Hancock price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.36
Spearman Rank Test0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.39

John Hancock Tax lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is John Hancock fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting John Hancock's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of John Hancock returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that John Hancock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

John Hancock regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If John Hancock fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if John Hancock fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in John Hancock fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

John Hancock Lagged Returns

When evaluating John Hancock's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of John Hancock fund have on its future price. John Hancock autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, John Hancock autocorrelation shows the relationship between John Hancock fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in John Hancock Tax.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in John Fund

John Hancock financial ratios help investors to determine whether John Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in John with respect to the benefits of owning John Hancock security.
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance