Janus Trarian Fund Market Value

JCNIX Fund  USD 29.31  0.19  0.64%   
Janus Contrarian's market value is the price at which a share of Janus Contrarian trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Janus Trarian Fund investors about its performance. Janus Contrarian is trading at 29.31 as of the 21st of July 2025; that is 0.64 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 29.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Janus Trarian Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Janus Contrarian over a given investment horizon. Check out Janus Contrarian Correlation, Janus Contrarian Volatility and Janus Contrarian Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Janus Contrarian.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Janus Contrarian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Janus Contrarian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Janus Contrarian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Janus Contrarian 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Janus Contrarian's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Janus Contrarian.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Janus Contrarian on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Janus Trarian Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Janus Contrarian over 90 days. Janus Contrarian is related to or competes with Janus Contrarian, Janus Contrarian, Janus Contrarian, Janus Contrarian, and Janus Forty. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities with the potential for long-term growth of c... More

Janus Contrarian Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Janus Contrarian's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Janus Trarian Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Janus Contrarian Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Janus Contrarian's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Janus Contrarian's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Janus Contrarian historical prices to predict the future Janus Contrarian's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.1029.3130.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.3831.2332.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.8129.0230.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.7329.1229.52
Details

Janus Contrarian Backtested Returns

Janus Contrarian appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Janus Contrarian holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.3, which attests that the entity had a 0.3 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Janus Contrarian, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Janus Contrarian's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2286, market risk adjusted performance of 0.2542, and Downside Deviation of 1.02 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.21, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Janus Contrarian will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.72  

Good predictability

Janus Trarian Fund has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Janus Contrarian time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Janus Contrarian price movement. The serial correlation of 0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current Janus Contrarian price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.72
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.8

Janus Contrarian lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Janus Contrarian mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Janus Contrarian's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Janus Contrarian returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Janus Contrarian has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Janus Contrarian regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Janus Contrarian mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Janus Contrarian mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Janus Contrarian mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Janus Contrarian Lagged Returns

When evaluating Janus Contrarian's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Janus Contrarian mutual fund have on its future price. Janus Contrarian autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Janus Contrarian autocorrelation shows the relationship between Janus Contrarian mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Janus Trarian Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Janus Mutual Fund

Janus Contrarian financial ratios help investors to determine whether Janus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Janus with respect to the benefits of owning Janus Contrarian security.
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