KuCoin Token Market Value
| KCS Crypto | USD 9.84 0.09 0.92% |
| Symbol | KuCoin |
KuCoin Token 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to KuCoin Token's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of KuCoin Token.
| 04/03/2024 |
| 05/03/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in KuCoin Token on April 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding KuCoin Token or generate 0.0% return on investment in KuCoin Token over 30 days. KuCoin Token is related to or competes with Solana, XRP, Staked Ether, Open Network, Avalanche, Chainlink, and Optimism. KuCoin Token is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
KuCoin Token Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure KuCoin Token's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess KuCoin Token upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.49 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.012 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.56 |
KuCoin Token Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for KuCoin Token's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as KuCoin Token's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use KuCoin Token historical prices to predict the future KuCoin Token's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0234 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0318 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0112 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0644 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KuCoin Token's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KuCoin Token Backtested Returns
We consider KuCoin Token extremely risky. KuCoin Token retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0249, which conveys that digital coin had a 0.0249% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for KuCoin Token, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of coin. Please verify KuCoin Token's Mean Deviation of 3.5, downside deviation of 5.49, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0744 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The crypto owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.66, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, KuCoin Token will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | -0.02 |
Very weak reverse predictability
KuCoin Token has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between KuCoin Token time series from 3rd of April 2024 to 18th of April 2024 and 18th of April 2024 to 3rd of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of KuCoin Token price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current KuCoin Token price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.13 |
KuCoin Token lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is KuCoin Token crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting KuCoin Token's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of KuCoin Token returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that KuCoin Token has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
KuCoin Token regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If KuCoin Token crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if KuCoin Token crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in KuCoin Token crypto coin over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
KuCoin Token Lagged Returns
When evaluating KuCoin Token's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of KuCoin Token crypto coin have on its future price. KuCoin Token autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, KuCoin Token autocorrelation shows the relationship between KuCoin Token crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in KuCoin Token.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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KuCoin Token technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.