MBK Public (Thailand) Market Value
MBK Stock | THB 17.30 0.50 2.98% |
Symbol | MBK |
MBK Public 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MBK Public's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MBK Public.
04/04/2024 |
| 05/04/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MBK Public on April 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MBK Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in MBK Public over 30 days. MBK Public is related to or competes with Land, Central Pattana, AP Public, Quality Houses, and LPN Development. MBK Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the shopping center, hotel and tourism, golf, rea... More
MBK Public Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MBK Public's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MBK Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 2.19 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.0379 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 21.25 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.37) | |||
Potential Upside | 2.29 |
MBK Public Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MBK Public's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MBK Public's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MBK Public historical prices to predict the future MBK Public's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0459 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.1293 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.0436 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.557 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MBK Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MBK Public Backtested Returns
We consider MBK Public not too volatile. MBK Public has Sharpe Ratio of 0.066, which conveys that the company had a 0.066% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for MBK Public, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please verify MBK Public's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.567, downside deviation of 2.19, and Mean Deviation of 1.31 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. MBK Public has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.25, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, MBK Public's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MBK Public is expected to be smaller as well. MBK Public now secures a risk of 2.67%. Please verify MBK Public total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if MBK Public will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | -0.81 |
Excellent reverse predictability
MBK Public has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MBK Public time series from 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024 and 19th of April 2024 to 4th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MBK Public price movement. The serial correlation of -0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current MBK Public price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.81 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.1 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.14 |
MBK Public lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is MBK Public stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MBK Public's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MBK Public returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MBK Public has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
MBK Public regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MBK Public stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MBK Public stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MBK Public stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
MBK Public Lagged Returns
When evaluating MBK Public's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MBK Public stock have on its future price. MBK Public autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MBK Public autocorrelation shows the relationship between MBK Public stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MBK Public.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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When running MBK Public's price analysis, check to measure MBK Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MBK Public is operating at the current time. Most of MBK Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MBK Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MBK Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MBK Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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MBK Public technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.