Mainstay Emerging Markets Fund Market Value
| MGHAX Fund | USD 7.82 0.03 0.39% |
| Symbol | Mainstay |
Mainstay Emerging 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mainstay Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mainstay Emerging.
| 04/22/2025 |
| 07/21/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Mainstay Emerging on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mainstay Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mainstay Emerging over 90 days. Mainstay Emerging is related to or competes with Mainstay Large, Mainstay Large, Mainstay Large, Mainstay Winslow, Mainstay High, Mainstay High, and Mainstay High. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in fixed income securities of issuers in emerging markets More
Mainstay Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mainstay Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mainstay Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.2526 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.39) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.5427 |
Mainstay Emerging Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mainstay Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mainstay Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mainstay Emerging historical prices to predict the future Mainstay Emerging's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2655 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0629 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0392 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6062 |
Mainstay Emerging Markets Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Mainstay Mutual Fund to be very steady. Mainstay Emerging Markets has Sharpe Ratio of 0.3, which conveys that the entity had a 0.3 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Mainstay Emerging, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mainstay Emerging's Mean Deviation of 0.2408, coefficient of variation of 325.01, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2655 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0851%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.13, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mainstay Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mainstay Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.84 |
Very good predictability
Mainstay Emerging Markets has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mainstay Emerging time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mainstay Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Mainstay Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.84 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.73 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Mainstay Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Mainstay Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mainstay Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mainstay Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mainstay Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Mainstay Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mainstay Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mainstay Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mainstay Emerging mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Mainstay Emerging Lagged Returns
When evaluating Mainstay Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mainstay Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Mainstay Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mainstay Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mainstay Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mainstay Emerging Markets.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund
Mainstay Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Emerging security.
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