Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock Market Value

MPC Stock  USD 174.21  0.04  0.02%   
Marathon Petroleum's market value is the price at which a share of Marathon Petroleum trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Marathon Petroleum Corp investors about its performance. Marathon Petroleum is trading at 174.21 as of the 19th of July 2025, a 0.02% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 174.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Marathon Petroleum Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Marathon Petroleum over a given investment horizon. Check out Marathon Petroleum Correlation, Marathon Petroleum Volatility and Marathon Petroleum Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Marathon Petroleum.
Symbol

Marathon Petroleum Corp Price To Book Ratio

Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marathon Petroleum. If investors know Marathon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marathon Petroleum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Dividend Share
3.555
Earnings Share
7.25
Revenue Per Share
420.637
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Marathon Petroleum Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marathon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marathon Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marathon Petroleum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marathon Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marathon Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marathon Petroleum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marathon Petroleum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marathon Petroleum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Marathon Petroleum 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Marathon Petroleum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Marathon Petroleum.
0.00
04/20/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Marathon Petroleum on April 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Marathon Petroleum Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Marathon Petroleum over 90 days. Marathon Petroleum is related to or competes with Phillips, HF Sinclair, PBF Energy, Sunoco LP, Valero Energy, Delek Energy, and CVR Energy. Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company prim... More

Marathon Petroleum Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Marathon Petroleum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Marathon Petroleum Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Marathon Petroleum Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Marathon Petroleum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Marathon Petroleum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Marathon Petroleum historical prices to predict the future Marathon Petroleum's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
171.42172.99174.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
156.79179.92181.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
165.17166.74168.31
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
150.24165.10183.26
Details

Marathon Petroleum Corp Backtested Returns

Marathon Petroleum appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Marathon Petroleum Corp has Sharpe Ratio of 0.34, which conveys that the firm had a 0.34 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Marathon Petroleum's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.54% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Marathon Petroleum's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3125, mean deviation of 1.24, and Downside Deviation of 1.52 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Marathon Petroleum holds a performance score of 26. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.61, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Marathon Petroleum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Marathon Petroleum is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Marathon Petroleum's semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Marathon Petroleum's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.79  

Good predictability

Marathon Petroleum Corp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Marathon Petroleum time series from 20th of April 2025 to 4th of June 2025 and 4th of June 2025 to 19th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Marathon Petroleum Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Marathon Petroleum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.79
Spearman Rank Test0.79
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance43.54

Marathon Petroleum Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Marathon Petroleum stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Marathon Petroleum's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Marathon Petroleum returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Marathon Petroleum has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Marathon Petroleum regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Marathon Petroleum stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Marathon Petroleum stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Marathon Petroleum stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Marathon Petroleum Lagged Returns

When evaluating Marathon Petroleum's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Marathon Petroleum stock have on its future price. Marathon Petroleum autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Marathon Petroleum autocorrelation shows the relationship between Marathon Petroleum stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Marathon Petroleum Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Marathon Petroleum Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Marathon Petroleum's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock:
Check out Marathon Petroleum Correlation, Marathon Petroleum Volatility and Marathon Petroleum Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Marathon Petroleum.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Marathon Petroleum technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Marathon Petroleum technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Marathon Petroleum trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...