Novo Nordisk As Stock Market Value
NVO Stock | USD 126.85 1.06 0.84% |
Symbol | Novo |
Novo Nordisk AS Price To Book Ratio
Is Novo Nordisk's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Novo Nordisk. If investors know Novo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Novo Nordisk listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.631 | Dividend Share 9.4 | Earnings Share 2.68 | Revenue Per Share 51.812 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.37 |
The market value of Novo Nordisk AS is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Novo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Novo Nordisk's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Novo Nordisk's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Novo Nordisk's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Novo Nordisk's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Novo Nordisk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Novo Nordisk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Novo Nordisk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Novo Nordisk 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Novo Nordisk's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Novo Nordisk.
03/28/2024 |
| 04/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Novo Nordisk on March 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Novo Nordisk AS or generate 0.0% return on investment in Novo Nordisk over 30 days. Novo Nordisk is related to or competes with PetIQ, Emergent Biosolutions, Neurocrine Biosciences, and Haleon Plc. Novo Nordisk AS, a healthcare company, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of pharmaceutica... More
Novo Nordisk Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Novo Nordisk's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Novo Nordisk AS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 1.29 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.1118 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 11.35 | |||
Value At Risk | (2.07) | |||
Potential Upside | 3.72 |
Novo Nordisk Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Novo Nordisk's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Novo Nordisk's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Novo Nordisk historical prices to predict the future Novo Nordisk's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1048 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.2383 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | 0.0493 | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.1718 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.383 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Novo Nordisk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Novo Nordisk AS Backtested Returns
Novo Nordisk appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Novo Nordisk AS has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Novo Nordisk, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Novo Nordisk's Downside Deviation of 1.29, risk adjusted performance of 0.1048, and Mean Deviation of 1.43 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Novo Nordisk holds a performance score of 10. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.78, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Novo Nordisk's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Novo Nordisk is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Novo Nordisk's sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Novo Nordisk's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.28 |
Weak reverse predictability
Novo Nordisk AS has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Novo Nordisk time series from 28th of March 2024 to 12th of April 2024 and 12th of April 2024 to 27th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Novo Nordisk AS price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Novo Nordisk price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.28 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.74 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 3.01 |
Novo Nordisk AS lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Novo Nordisk stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Novo Nordisk's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Novo Nordisk returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Novo Nordisk has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Novo Nordisk regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Novo Nordisk stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Novo Nordisk stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Novo Nordisk stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Novo Nordisk Lagged Returns
When evaluating Novo Nordisk's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Novo Nordisk stock have on its future price. Novo Nordisk autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Novo Nordisk autocorrelation shows the relationship between Novo Nordisk stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Novo Nordisk AS.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Novo Nordisk Investors Sentiment
The influence of Novo Nordisk's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Novo. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Novo Nordisk's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Novo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Novo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Novo Nordisk AS. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Novo Nordisk's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Novo Nordisk's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Novo Nordisk's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Novo Nordisk.
Novo Nordisk Implied Volatility | 57.55 |
Novo Nordisk's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Novo Nordisk AS stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Novo Nordisk's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Novo Nordisk stock will not fluctuate a lot when Novo Nordisk's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Novo Nordisk in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Novo Nordisk's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Novo Nordisk options trading.
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When running Novo Nordisk's price analysis, check to measure Novo Nordisk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Novo Nordisk is operating at the current time. Most of Novo Nordisk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Novo Nordisk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Novo Nordisk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Novo Nordisk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Novo Nordisk technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.