Papa Johns (Germany) Market Value
| PP1 Stock | EUR 37.38 0.44 1.16% |
| Symbol | Papa |
Papa Johns 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Papa Johns' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Papa Johns.
| 04/21/2025 |
| 07/20/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Papa Johns on April 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Papa Johns International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Papa Johns over 90 days. Papa Johns is related to or competes with ALGOMA STEEL, AIR PRODCHEMICALS, STEEL DYNAMICS, Eastman Chemical, SHIN ETSU, Sumitomo Chemical, and ANGANG STEEL. Papa Johns International, Inc. operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants under the Papa Johns trad... More
Papa Johns Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Papa Johns' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Papa Johns International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1242 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.20) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.94 |
Papa Johns Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Papa Johns' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Papa Johns' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Papa Johns historical prices to predict the future Papa Johns' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.162 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6146 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0771 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2018 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.18) |
Papa Johns International Backtested Returns
Papa Johns appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Papa Johns International maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.17, which implies the firm had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Papa Johns' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.6% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Papa Johns' Semi Deviation of 1.73, coefficient of variation of 603.71, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.162 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Papa Johns holds a performance score of 13. The company holds a Beta of -0.47, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Papa Johns are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Papa Johns is likely to outperform the market. Please check Papa Johns' treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Papa Johns' historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.76 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Papa Johns International has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Papa Johns time series from 21st of April 2025 to 5th of June 2025 and 5th of June 2025 to 20th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Papa Johns International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Papa Johns price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.76 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.78 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.53 |
Papa Johns International lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Papa Johns stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Papa Johns' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Papa Johns returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Papa Johns has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Papa Johns regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Papa Johns stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Papa Johns stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Papa Johns stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Papa Johns Lagged Returns
When evaluating Papa Johns' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Papa Johns stock have on its future price. Papa Johns autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Papa Johns autocorrelation shows the relationship between Papa Johns stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Papa Johns International.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Papa Stock
When determining whether Papa Johns International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Papa Johns' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Papa Johns International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Papa Johns International Stock:Check out Papa Johns Correlation, Papa Johns Volatility and Papa Johns Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Papa Johns. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Papa Johns technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.