Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget Stock Market Value
| SVCBF Stock | USD 12.90 0.23 1.75% |
| Symbol | Svenska |
Svenska Cellulosa 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Svenska Cellulosa's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Svenska Cellulosa.
| 04/20/2025 |
| 07/19/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Svenska Cellulosa on April 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget or generate 0.0% return on investment in Svenska Cellulosa over 90 days. Svenska Cellulosa is related to or competes with Acadian Timber, Acadian Timber, West Fraser, UPM Kymmene, UPM Kymmene, Nitto Denko, and Shin Etsu. Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA , a forest products company, develops, produces, and sells forest, wood, pulp, and co... More
Svenska Cellulosa Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Svenska Cellulosa's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.75 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.41 |
Svenska Cellulosa Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Svenska Cellulosa's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Svenska Cellulosa's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Svenska Cellulosa historical prices to predict the future Svenska Cellulosa's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0238 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.062 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.07) |
Svenska Cellulosa Backtested Returns
Svenska Cellulosa owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0626, which indicates the firm had a -0.0626 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Svenska Cellulosa's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0238, semi deviation of 0.8497, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4596.08 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.31, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Svenska Cellulosa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Svenska Cellulosa is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Svenska Cellulosa has a negative expected return of -0.0757%. Please make sure to validate Svenska Cellulosa's information ratio, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if Svenska Cellulosa performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.43 |
Modest reverse predictability
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Svenska Cellulosa time series from 20th of April 2025 to 4th of June 2025 and 4th of June 2025 to 19th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Svenska Cellulosa price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Svenska Cellulosa price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.43 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.56 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
Svenska Cellulosa lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Svenska Cellulosa pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Svenska Cellulosa's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Svenska Cellulosa returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Svenska Cellulosa has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Svenska Cellulosa regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Svenska Cellulosa pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Svenska Cellulosa pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Svenska Cellulosa pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Svenska Cellulosa Lagged Returns
When evaluating Svenska Cellulosa's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Svenska Cellulosa pink sheet have on its future price. Svenska Cellulosa autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Svenska Cellulosa autocorrelation shows the relationship between Svenska Cellulosa pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Svenska Pink Sheet
Svenska Cellulosa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Svenska Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Svenska with respect to the benefits of owning Svenska Cellulosa security.