Tata Steel (India) Market Value

TATASTEEL   162.37  2.47  1.54%   
Tata Steel's market value is the price at which a share of Tata Steel trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tata Steel Limited investors about its performance. Tata Steel is trading at 162.37 as of the 19th of July 2025, a 1.54 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 160.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tata Steel Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tata Steel over a given investment horizon. Check out Tata Steel Correlation, Tata Steel Volatility and Tata Steel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tata Steel.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tata Steel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tata Steel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tata Steel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tata Steel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tata Steel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tata Steel.
0.00
04/20/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tata Steel on April 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tata Steel Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tata Steel over 90 days. Tata Steel is related to or competes with One 97, Ortel Communications, Bigbloc Construction, Vishnu Chemicals, Chemcon Speciality, Tata Communications, and ACUTAAS CHEMICALS. Tata Steel is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Tata Steel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tata Steel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tata Steel Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tata Steel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tata Steel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tata Steel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tata Steel historical prices to predict the future Tata Steel's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tata Steel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
161.44162.91164.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
146.13184.84186.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
151.73153.20154.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.631.992.63
Details

Tata Steel Limited Backtested Returns

Tata Steel appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Tata Steel Limited owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.19, which indicates the firm had a 0.19 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Tata Steel Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Tata Steel's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1968, semi deviation of 0.8146, and Coefficient Of Variation of 483.36 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Tata Steel holds a performance score of 15. The entity has a beta of 0.22, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Tata Steel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tata Steel is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Tata Steel's downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Tata Steel's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.82  

Very good predictability

Tata Steel Limited has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tata Steel time series from 20th of April 2025 to 4th of June 2025 and 4th of June 2025 to 19th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tata Steel Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Tata Steel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance16.51

Tata Steel Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tata Steel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tata Steel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tata Steel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tata Steel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tata Steel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tata Steel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tata Steel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tata Steel stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tata Steel Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tata Steel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tata Steel stock have on its future price. Tata Steel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tata Steel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tata Steel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tata Steel Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tata Stock

Tata Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tata with respect to the benefits of owning Tata Steel security.