TP ICAP (UK) Market Value

TCAP Stock   310.00  1.50  0.49%   
TP ICAP's market value is the price at which a share of TP ICAP trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of TP ICAP Group investors about its performance. TP ICAP is selling for under 297.00 as of the 21st of July 2025; that is 0.48 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 307.82.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of TP ICAP Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in TP ICAP over a given investment horizon. Check out TP ICAP Correlation, TP ICAP Volatility and TP ICAP Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TP ICAP.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between TP ICAP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TP ICAP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TP ICAP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

TP ICAP 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TP ICAP's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TP ICAP.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in TP ICAP on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TP ICAP Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in TP ICAP over 90 days. TP ICAP is related to or competes with Odyssean Investment, X FAB, Auto Trader, New Residential, Chrysalis Investments, Edinburgh Investment, and Bloomsbury Publishing. More

TP ICAP Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TP ICAP's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TP ICAP Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

TP ICAP Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TP ICAP's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TP ICAP's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TP ICAP historical prices to predict the future TP ICAP's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
306.31307.55308.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
277.65346.79348.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
310.14311.38312.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
241.85278.62315.39
Details

TP ICAP Group Backtested Returns

TP ICAP appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. TP ICAP Group retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.3, which indicates the firm had a 0.3 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for TP ICAP, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review TP ICAP's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2864, downside deviation of 1.21, and Mean Deviation of 0.9726 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, TP ICAP holds a performance score of 23. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0434, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning TP ICAP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, TP ICAP is likely to outperform the market. Please check TP ICAP's market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether TP ICAP's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

TP ICAP Group has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TP ICAP time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TP ICAP Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current TP ICAP price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance326.84

TP ICAP Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is TP ICAP stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TP ICAP's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TP ICAP returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TP ICAP has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

TP ICAP regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TP ICAP stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TP ICAP stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TP ICAP stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

TP ICAP Lagged Returns

When evaluating TP ICAP's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TP ICAP stock have on its future price. TP ICAP autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TP ICAP autocorrelation shows the relationship between TP ICAP stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TP ICAP Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for TCAP Stock Analysis

When running TP ICAP's price analysis, check to measure TP ICAP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TP ICAP is operating at the current time. Most of TP ICAP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TP ICAP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TP ICAP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TP ICAP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.