Triumph Gold Corp Stock Market Value
| TIGCF Stock | USD 0.19 0.01 5.56% |
| Symbol | Triumph |
Triumph Gold 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Triumph Gold's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Triumph Gold.
| 04/24/2025 |
| 07/23/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Triumph Gold on April 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Triumph Gold Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Triumph Gold over 90 days. Triumph Gold is related to or competes with Bonterra Resources, and Kenorland Minerals. Triumph Gold Corp., a junior natural resource company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of miner... More
Triumph Gold Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Triumph Gold's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Triumph Gold Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 7.0 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0702 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 48.03 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.76 |
Triumph Gold Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Triumph Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Triumph Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Triumph Gold historical prices to predict the future Triumph Gold's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0963 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.02 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0772 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.57) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Triumph Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Triumph Gold Corp Backtested Returns
Triumph Gold appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Triumph Gold Corp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0983, which indicates the firm had a 0.0983 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Triumph Gold's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.76% is justified by implied risk. Please review Triumph Gold's Semi Deviation of 4.03, coefficient of variation of 1017.76, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0963 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Triumph Gold holds a performance score of 7. The entity has a beta of -1.31, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Triumph Gold are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Triumph Gold is expected to outperform it. Please check Triumph Gold's downside variance, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Triumph Gold's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.08 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Triumph Gold Corp has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Triumph Gold time series from 24th of April 2025 to 8th of June 2025 and 8th of June 2025 to 23rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Triumph Gold Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Triumph Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Triumph Gold Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Triumph Gold pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Triumph Gold's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Triumph Gold returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Triumph Gold has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Triumph Gold regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Triumph Gold pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Triumph Gold pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Triumph Gold pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Triumph Gold Lagged Returns
When evaluating Triumph Gold's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Triumph Gold pink sheet have on its future price. Triumph Gold autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Triumph Gold autocorrelation shows the relationship between Triumph Gold pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Triumph Gold Corp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Triumph Pink Sheet
Triumph Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Triumph Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Triumph with respect to the benefits of owning Triumph Gold security.