Ufuk Yatirim (Turkey) Market Value

UFUK Stock  TRY 556.50  40.50  7.85%   
Ufuk Yatirim's market value is the price at which a share of Ufuk Yatirim trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim investors about its performance. Ufuk Yatirim is selling for under 556.50 as of the 30th of April 2024; that is 7.85 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 501.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ufuk Yatirim over a given investment horizon. Check out Ufuk Yatirim Correlation, Ufuk Yatirim Volatility and Ufuk Yatirim Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ufuk Yatirim.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ufuk Yatirim's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ufuk Yatirim is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ufuk Yatirim's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ufuk Yatirim 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ufuk Yatirim's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ufuk Yatirim.
0.00
03/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
04/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ufuk Yatirim on March 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ufuk Yatirim over 30 days. Ufuk Yatirim is related to or competes with Zorlu Enerji, Soktas Tekstil, and Ayen Enerji. UFUK Yatirim Yonetim ve Gayrimenkul A.S. invests in and finances small to large business projects in Turkey More

Ufuk Yatirim Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ufuk Yatirim's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ufuk Yatirim Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ufuk Yatirim's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ufuk Yatirim's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ufuk Yatirim historical prices to predict the future Ufuk Yatirim's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ufuk Yatirim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
550.53556.50562.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
370.67376.63612.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
634.66640.62646.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
142.46351.69560.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ufuk Yatirim. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ufuk Yatirim's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ufuk Yatirim's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim.

Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim Backtested Returns

Ufuk Yatirim is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.43, which indicates the firm had a 0.43% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 2.6% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim Semi Deviation of 3.48, coefficient of variation of 203.15, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3161 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Ufuk Yatirim holds a performance score of 33 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of -0.29, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ufuk Yatirim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ufuk Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Use Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim maximum drawdown, potential upside, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and downside variance , to analyze future returns on Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ufuk Yatirim time series from 31st of March 2024 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 30th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Ufuk Yatirim price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3091.95

Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ufuk Yatirim stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ufuk Yatirim's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ufuk Yatirim returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ufuk Yatirim has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ufuk Yatirim regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ufuk Yatirim stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ufuk Yatirim stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ufuk Yatirim stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ufuk Yatirim Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ufuk Yatirim's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ufuk Yatirim stock have on its future price. Ufuk Yatirim autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ufuk Yatirim autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ufuk Yatirim stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ufuk Yatirim Yonetim.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Ufuk Yatirim Correlation, Ufuk Yatirim Volatility and Ufuk Yatirim Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ufuk Yatirim.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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When running Ufuk Yatirim's price analysis, check to measure Ufuk Yatirim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ufuk Yatirim is operating at the current time. Most of Ufuk Yatirim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ufuk Yatirim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ufuk Yatirim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ufuk Yatirim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Ufuk Yatirim technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ufuk Yatirim technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ufuk Yatirim trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...