US294429AR68 Market Value
| 294429AR6 | 98.06 1.07 1.08% |
| Symbol | 294429AR6 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 294429AR6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 294429AR6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 294429AR6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
294429AR6 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 294429AR6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 294429AR6.
| 04/24/2025 |
| 07/23/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 294429AR6 on April 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US294429AR68 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 294429AR6 over 90 days. 294429AR6 is related to or competes with United Guardian, Old Dominion, Austin Gold, Nasdaq, Hafnia, and MGIC Investment. More
294429AR6 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 294429AR6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US294429AR68 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.19) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.27 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.05 |
294429AR6 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 294429AR6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 294429AR6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 294429AR6 historical prices to predict the future 294429AR6's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.49) |
US294429AR68 Backtested Returns
US294429AR68 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 294429AR6 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 294429AR6's insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance, variance of 0.9599, and Coefficient Of Variation of (15,836) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0329, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 294429AR6's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 294429AR6 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.3 |
Weak reverse predictability
US294429AR68 has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 294429AR6 time series from 24th of April 2025 to 8th of June 2025 and 8th of June 2025 to 23rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US294429AR68 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current 294429AR6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.3 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.23 |
US294429AR68 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 294429AR6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 294429AR6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 294429AR6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 294429AR6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
294429AR6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 294429AR6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 294429AR6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 294429AR6 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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294429AR6 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 294429AR6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 294429AR6 bond have on its future price. 294429AR6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 294429AR6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 294429AR6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US294429AR68.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 294429AR6 Bond
294429AR6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 294429AR6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 294429AR6 with respect to the benefits of owning 294429AR6 security.