Vibra Energia's market value is the price at which a share of Vibra Energia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vibra Energia SA investors about its performance. Vibra Energia is selling for under 20.21 as of the 23rd of July 2025; that is 1.10% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 19.83. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vibra Energia SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vibra Energia over a given investment horizon. Check out Vibra Energia Correlation, Vibra Energia Volatility and Vibra Energia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vibra Energia.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vibra Energia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vibra Energia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vibra Energia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Vibra Energia 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vibra Energia's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vibra Energia.
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04/24/2025
No Change 0.00
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In 3 months and 1 day
07/23/2025
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If you would invest 0.00 in Vibra Energia on April 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vibra Energia SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vibra Energia over 90 days. Vibra Energia is related to or competes with Pet Center, Lojas Quero, Magazine Luiza, Cosan SA, and Telefnica Brasil. More
Vibra Energia Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vibra Energia's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vibra Energia SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vibra Energia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vibra Energia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vibra Energia historical prices to predict the future Vibra Energia's volatility.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vibra Energia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vibra Energia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vibra Energia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vibra Energia SA.
Vibra Energia SA Backtested Returns
Currently, Vibra Energia SA is very steady. Vibra Energia SA owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0716, which indicates the firm had a 0.0716 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Vibra Energia SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Vibra Energia's Coefficient Of Variation of 1397.27, semi deviation of 1.5, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0682 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Vibra Energia has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.0186, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vibra Energia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vibra Energia is likely to outperform the market. Vibra Energia SA right now has a risk of 1.62%. Please validate Vibra Energia downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Vibra Energia will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation
-0.23
Weak reverse predictability
Vibra Energia SA has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vibra Energia time series from 24th of April 2025 to 8th of June 2025 and 8th of June 2025 to 23rd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vibra Energia SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Vibra Energia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.23
Spearman Rank Test
0.25
Residual Average
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Price Variance
0.38
Vibra Energia SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vibra Energia stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vibra Energia's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vibra Energia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vibra Energia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
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Vibra Energia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vibra Energia stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vibra Energia stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vibra Energia stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
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Vibra Energia Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vibra Energia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vibra Energia stock have on its future price. Vibra Energia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vibra Energia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vibra Energia stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vibra Energia SA.
Regressed Prices
Timeline
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When running Vibra Energia's price analysis, check to measure Vibra Energia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vibra Energia is operating at the current time. Most of Vibra Energia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vibra Energia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vibra Energia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vibra Energia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.