Private Capital Management Fund Market Value

VFPIX Fund  USD 18.11  0.12  0.66%   
Private Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Private Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Private Capital Management investors about its performance. Private Capital is trading at 18.11 as of the 19th of July 2025; that is 0.66 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.23.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Private Capital Management and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Private Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out Private Capital Correlation, Private Capital Volatility and Private Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Private Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Private Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Private Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Private Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Private Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Private Capital's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Private Capital.
0.00
04/20/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Private Capital on April 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Private Capital Management or generate 0.0% return on investment in Private Capital over 90 days. Private Capital is related to or competes with Bts Tactical, Artisan High, Morningstar Defensive, Ab Bond, Enhanced Fixed, Ab Bond, and Siit High. The fund, under normal circumstances, primarily invests in common stocks of companies listed on stock exchanges in North... More

Private Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Private Capital's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Private Capital Management upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Private Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Private Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Private Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Private Capital historical prices to predict the future Private Capital's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.1318.2319.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5118.6119.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.0218.1219.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.6618.0418.42
Details

Private Capital Mana Backtested Returns

Private Capital appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Private Capital Mana maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.19, which implies the entity had a 0.19 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Private Capital Mana, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please evaluate Private Capital's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1651, coefficient of variation of 571.23, and Semi Deviation of 0.9025 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund holds a Beta of -0.18, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Private Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Private Capital is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

Private Capital Management has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Private Capital time series from 20th of April 2025 to 4th of June 2025 and 4th of June 2025 to 19th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Private Capital Mana price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Private Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

Private Capital Mana lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Private Capital mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Private Capital's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Private Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Private Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Private Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Private Capital mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Private Capital mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Private Capital mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Private Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Private Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Private Capital mutual fund have on its future price. Private Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Private Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Private Capital mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Private Capital Management.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Private Mutual Fund

Private Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Private Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Private with respect to the benefits of owning Private Capital security.
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