Watsco Inc Stock Market Value
| WSO-B Stock | USD 437.48 12.52 2.78% |
| Symbol | Watsco |
Watsco 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Watsco's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Watsco.
| 04/07/2025 |
| 07/06/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Watsco on April 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Watsco Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Watsco over 90 days. Watsco is related to or competes with Playstudios, National Beverage, Coca Cola, Take Two, and Bragg Gaming. Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment and rel... More
Watsco Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Watsco's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Watsco Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.54) |
Watsco Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Watsco's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Watsco's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Watsco historical prices to predict the future Watsco's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.18) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.78 |
Watsco Inc Backtested Returns
Watsco Inc shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.12, which attests that the company had a -0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Watsco Inc exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Watsco's Standard Deviation of 1.76, mean deviation of 0.5726, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 2.79 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of -0.0749, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Watsco are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Watsco is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Watsco Inc has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to check out Watsco's skewness, daily balance of power, day median price, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and rate of daily change , to decide if Watsco Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.42 |
Average predictability
Watsco Inc has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Watsco time series from 7th of April 2025 to 22nd of May 2025 and 22nd of May 2025 to 6th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Watsco Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Watsco price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.42 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 92.8 |
Watsco Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Watsco stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Watsco's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Watsco returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Watsco has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Watsco regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Watsco stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Watsco stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Watsco stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Watsco Lagged Returns
When evaluating Watsco's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Watsco stock have on its future price. Watsco autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Watsco autocorrelation shows the relationship between Watsco stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Watsco Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Check out Watsco Correlation, Watsco Volatility and Watsco Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Watsco. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Watsco technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.