The Cheesecake Factory Stock Analysis
| CAKE Stock | USD 47.38 0.28 0.59% |
The Cheesecake Factory is undervalued with Real Value of 54.38 and Target Price of 59.22. The main objective of Cheesecake Factory stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what The Cheesecake Factory is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Cheesecake Factory's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Cheesecake Factory stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Cheesecake Factory's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
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Cheesecake Stock Analysis Notes
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.99. The Cheesecake Factory last dividend was issued on the 11th of November 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 9th of December 2004. It operates two bakeries that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California. Cheesecake Fact operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 45800 people. For more info on The Cheesecake Factory please contact David Overton at 818 871 3000 or go to https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com.Cheesecake Factory Quarterly Total Revenue |
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The Cheesecake Factory Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Cheesecake Factory's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding The Cheesecake Factory or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
| Cheesecake Factory generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The Cheesecake Factory currently holds 1.91 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. The Cheesecake Factory has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cheesecake Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 92.0% of Cheesecake Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 25th of November 2025 Cheesecake Factory paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 5262 shares by Lisa Kulok of Columbia Sportswear at 53.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
The Cheesecake Factory Upcoming and Recent Events
| 28th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 8th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 28th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Cheesecake Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Cheesecake Factory's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-11-01 | 2023-09-30 | 0.44 | 0.39 | -0.05 | 11 | ||
2014-04-23 | 2014-03-31 | 0.49 | 0.4261 | -0.0639 | 13 | ||
2020-10-29 | 2020-09-30 | -0.3971 | -0.33 | 0.0671 | 16 |
Cheesecake Factory Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Cheesecake Factory's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Cheesecake Factory's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Cheesecake Factory's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Cheesecake Factory's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
Cheesecake Stock Institutional Investors
Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Westwood Holdings Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.3 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.1 M | Hennessy Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 1.1 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 1 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 792.9 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2025-06-30 | 748.4 K | Palisade Capital Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 603.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 6.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 5.2 M |
Cheesecake Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.36 B.Cheesecake Profitablity
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.04 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.04 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.04.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.06 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.08 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.05 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.35 | 0.37 |
Management Efficiency
The Cheesecake Factory has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0442 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0442 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.3914 %, meaning that it created $0.3914 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Cheesecake Factory's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Cheesecake Factory manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to 0.08. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.14. At present, Cheesecake Factory's Non Current Assets Total are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 226.3 M, whereas Other Assets are forecasted to decline to about 146 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 9.28 | 5.73 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 4.01 | 4.74 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 14.46 | 14.84 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 5.11 | 3.16 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 14.46 | 14.84 | |
| Price Fair Value | 5.11 | 3.16 | |
| Enterprise Value | 202.5 M | 141.9 M |
Understanding the management dynamics of The Cheesecake Factory allows us to gauge its ability to sustain growth and profitability. This comprehensive analysis aids in determining the stock's value.
Technical Drivers
As of the 2nd of December, Cheesecake Factory shows the Mean Deviation of 1.4, risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Coefficient Of Variation of (508.67). The Cheesecake Factory technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm The Cheesecake Factory standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and potential upside to decide if The Cheesecake Factory is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 47.38 per share. Given that Cheesecake Factory has information ratio of (0.23), we suggest you to validate The Cheesecake Factory's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.The Cheesecake Factory Price Movement Analysis
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The Cheesecake Factory Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Cheesecake Factory insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Cheesecake Factory's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Cheesecake Factory insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
David Overton over six months ago Disposition of 79300 shares by David Overton of Cheesecake Factory at 52.9948 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
David Overton over six months ago Disposition of 179300 shares by David Overton of Cheesecake Factory at 47.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Keith Carango over six months ago Disposition of 363 shares by Keith Carango of Cheesecake Factory at 34.93 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Pittaway David Bruce over six months ago Acquisition by Pittaway David Bruce of 500 shares of Cheesecake Factory at 42.05 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Keith Carango over a year ago Acquisition by Keith Carango of 3060 shares of Cheesecake Factory subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
David Gordon over a year ago Acquisition by David Gordon of 7638 shares of Cheesecake Factory subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Cheesecake Factory Outstanding Bonds
Cheesecake Factory issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. The Cheesecake Factory uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Cheesecake bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when The Cheesecake Factory has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| US163072AA98 Corp BondUS163072AA98 | View | |
| SOLEIN 7125 01 OCT 27 Corp BondUS16308NAA28 | View |
Cheesecake Factory Predictive Daily Indicators
Cheesecake Factory intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Cheesecake Factory stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24704.03 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.22) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 47.22 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 47.27 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.025 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.28) |
Cheesecake Factory Corporate Filings
| 12th of November 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
10Q | 3rd of November 2025 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
8K | 28th of October 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
| 7th of October 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
| 15th of August 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
| 7th of August 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
| 6th of August 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
10Q | 4th of August 2025 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
Cheesecake Factory Forecast Models
Cheesecake Factory's time-series forecasting models are one of many Cheesecake Factory's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Cheesecake Factory's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Cheesecake Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Cheesecake Factory prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Cheesecake shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Cheesecake Factory. By using and applying Cheesecake Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Cheesecake entry and exit points for their positions.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.05 | 0.08 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.05 | 0.07 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.04 | 0.05 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.77 | 0.81 |
Current Cheesecake Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Cheesecake analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Cheesecake analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 59.22 | Buy | 19 | Odds |
Most Cheesecake analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Cheesecake stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of The Cheesecake Factory, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Cheesecake conference calls.
Cheesecake Stock Analysis Indicators
The Cheesecake Factory stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Cheesecake Factory stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Cheesecake Factory shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Cheesecake Factory stock analysis, traders can identify Cheesecake Factory position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 56.3 M | |
| Long Term Debt | 452.1 M | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49 M | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | 443.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -161.1 M | |
| Tax Provision | 14.3 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.082 | |
| Property Plant And Equipment Net | 2.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 84.2 M | |
| Cash | 84.2 M | |
| Accounts Payable | 62.1 M | |
| Net Debt | 1.8 B | |
| 50 Day M A | 50.949 | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 711.4 M | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 3.4 B | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 2.7 B | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 11.919 | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 215.5 M | |
| Stock Based Compensation | 30 M |
Complementary Tools for Cheesecake Stock analysis
When running Cheesecake Factory's price analysis, check to measure Cheesecake Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cheesecake Factory is operating at the current time. Most of Cheesecake Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cheesecake Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cheesecake Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cheesecake Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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