Heritage Commerce Corp Stock Analysis

HTBK Stock  USD 10.29  0.06  0.58%   
Heritage Commerce Corp is undervalued with Real Value of 11.82 and Target Price of 11.0. The main objective of Heritage Commerce stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Heritage Commerce Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Heritage Commerce's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Heritage Commerce stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Heritage Commerce Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Heritage Stock Analysis Notes

About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Heritage Commerce Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of May 2025. The firm had 11:10 split on the 3rd of February 2000. Heritage Commerce Corp operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank of Commerce that provides various commercial and personal banking services to residents and the businessprofessional community in California. Heritage Commerce Corp was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in San Jose, California. Heritage Commerce operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 332 people. To learn more about Heritage Commerce Corp call Walter Kaczmarek at 408 947 6900 or check out https://www.heritagecommercecorp.com/corporate-pro.

Heritage Commerce Quarterly Total Revenue

63.65 Million

Heritage Commerce Corp Investment Alerts

Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: What analysts say about Heritage Commerce Corp stock - Exponential wealth increase - Jammu Links News

Heritage Commerce Corp Upcoming and Recent Events

25th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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25th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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23rd of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
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31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Heritage Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Heritage Commerce's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2013-10-24
2013-09-300.090.10.0111 
2013-07-25
2013-06-300.080.090.0112 
2013-04-25
2013-03-310.080.07-0.0112 
View All Earnings Estimates

Heritage Commerce Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Heritage Commerce's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Heritage Commerce's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Heritage Commerce's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Heritage Commerce's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Heritage Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2025-03-31
1.1 M
Kennedy Capital Management Inc2025-03-31
887.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-03-31
887.2 K
Alti Global Inc2025-03-31
656.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-03-31
583.8 K
Rhino Investment Partners, Inc.2025-03-31
548.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-03-31
537.1 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
513.3 K
Nuveen, Llc2025-03-31
510.7 K
Blackrock Inc2025-03-31
M
Wellington Management Company Llp2025-03-31
3.8 M
Note, although Heritage Commerce's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Heritage Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 633.82 M.

Heritage Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.24 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.36 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.36.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.07 

Management Efficiency

Return On Equity is expected to rise to 0.07 this year, although the value of Return On Tangible Assets will most likely fall to 0.01. At this time, Heritage Commerce's Total Current Liabilities is quite stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is expected to rise to about 5.9 B this year, although the value of Non Current Liabilities Total will most likely fall to about 93.8 M. Heritage Commerce's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Heritage Commerce manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 11.26  7.11 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 8.42  8.26 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(5.88)(5.58)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.83  1.63 
Enterprise Value Multiple(5.88)(5.58)
Price Fair Value 0.83  1.63 
Enterprise Value-160.2 M-152.2 M
Heritage Commerce's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Dividend Yield
0.0524
Operating Margin
0.3566
Profit Margin
0.2412
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0524
Beta
0.767

Technical Drivers

As of the 20th of July, Heritage Commerce retains the Downside Deviation of 1.16, market risk adjusted performance of 0.3698, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.231. Heritage Commerce technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Heritage Commerce Corp Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Simple Moving Average indicator is calculated by adding the closing price of Heritage Commerce for a given number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. It is used to smooth out Heritage Commerce Corp short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles.

Heritage Commerce Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Heritage Commerce insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Heritage Commerce's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Heritage Commerce insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Heritage Commerce Outstanding Bonds

Heritage Commerce issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Heritage Commerce Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Heritage bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Heritage Commerce Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Heritage Commerce Predictive Daily Indicators

Heritage Commerce intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Heritage Commerce stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Heritage Commerce Corporate Filings

F4
3rd of June 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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8K
27th of May 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
14th of May 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
13th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
12th of May 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of May 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F4
6th of May 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
24th of April 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Heritage Commerce Forecast Models

Heritage Commerce's time-series forecasting models are one of many Heritage Commerce's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Heritage Commerce's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Heritage Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Heritage Commerce prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Heritage shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Heritage Commerce. By using and applying Heritage Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Heritage entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.23  0.17 
Operating Profit Margin 0.23  0.17 
Net Profit Margin 0.16  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.68  0.60 

Current Heritage Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Heritage analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Heritage analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
11.0Strong Buy6Odds
Heritage Commerce Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Heritage analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Heritage stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Heritage Commerce Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Heritage conference calls.
Heritage Analyst Advice Details

Heritage Stock Analysis Indicators

Heritage Commerce Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Heritage Commerce stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Heritage Commerce shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Heritage Commerce stock analysis, traders can identify Heritage Commerce position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow408.1 M
Total Stockholder Equity689.7 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net10.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B
Net Invested Capital729.4 M
Cash968.1 M
50 Day M A9.6588
Net Interest Income163.6 M
Total Current Liabilities4.8 B
Forward Price Earnings11.0497
Investments110.6 M
Interest Expense79.1 M
Stock Based Compensation2.8 M
Long Term Debt39.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities110.6 M
Tax Provision16.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.138
Free Cash Flow37.3 M
Net Debt-928.5 M
Other Operating Expenses194.8 M
Non Current Assets Total4.4 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity5.6 B
Non Currrent Assets Other201 M
When determining whether Heritage Commerce Corp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Heritage Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Heritage Commerce Corp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Heritage Commerce Corp Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Heritage Commerce Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heritage Commerce. If investors know Heritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Heritage Commerce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.138
Dividend Share
0.52
Earnings Share
0.68
Revenue Per Share
2.838
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.091
The market value of Heritage Commerce Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heritage Commerce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heritage Commerce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Heritage Commerce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heritage Commerce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heritage Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heritage Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heritage Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.