Ford latest price is deceptive
 | By Vlad Skutelnik | Macroaxis Story |
Is the company current valuation justified for 2020? Here i will cover my perspective on Ford valuation to give investors a better outlook on taking a position in the stock. What is Ford odds of financial turmoil for August 2020? What is Ford Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.18%. The Ford Motor probability density function shows the probability of Ford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days. Taking into account the 90 trading days horizon, Ford has a beta of 0.1862 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ford average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ford Motor will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, the company has an alpha of 0.3896, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Russell 2000 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik
Ford Motor has accumulated 168.69 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.68, implying that the firm may be unable to produce cash to meet its debt commitments. The entity has accumulated 168.69 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.68, implying that Ford Motor may be unable to produce cash to meet its debt commitments. The firm has a current ratio of 1.29, implying that it is not liquid enough and may have problems to pay out its interest payments when they become due. Ford is UNDERVALUED at 6.36 per share with modest projections ahead.
We determine the current worth of Ford Motor using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Ford Motor based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Ford's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ford's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ford. We calculate exposure to Ford's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ford's related companies. 
Ford Motor Investment Alerts
Ford investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Ford Motor performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for FordFord Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition
Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Ford value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Ford competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Ford.Ford Gross Profit
Ford Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Ford previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Ford Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Ford's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.
What is driving Ford Investor Appetite?
Ford Motor utilizes its assets almost 0.06 percent, getting $6.0E-4 for each dollar of assets held by the firm. A positive asset utilization denotes the company is being slightly more effective with each dollar of assets it shows. Put another way asset utilization of Ford shows how effective it operates for each dollar spent on its assets. Ford has a beta of 0.1862. Let's try to break down what Ford's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ford will likely underperform. The beta indicator helps investors understand whether Ford moves in the same direction as the rest of the market, and how volatile (i.e., risky) it is compared to the market (i.e., selected benchmark). In other words, if Ford deviates very little from the market, it does not add much risk to the portfolio, but it also doesn't increase the expected returns. The latest increase in of Ford short term price appreciation could raise concerns from investors as the firm closed today at a share price of 5.74 on 73,604,400 in volume. The company management have been quite successful with maneuvering the fund at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in June. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.71. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Ford partners. Ford Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD is decreasing over the last 8 years. Also, Ford Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is rather stable at the moment.
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