Alpargatas Valuation

ALPA3 Stock  BRL 7.50  0.27  3.47%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Alpargatas SA shows a prevailing Real Value of R$6.55 per share. The current price of the firm is R$7.5. Our model approximates the value of Alpargatas SA from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0398, current valuation of 9.13 B, and Profit Margin of 0.03 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
7.50
Please note that Alpargatas' price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alpargatas SA is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alpargatas' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Alpargatas stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Alpargatas SA. Since Alpargatas is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alpargatas Stock. However, Alpargatas' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.5 Real  6.55 Hype  7.5 Naive  7.01
The intrinsic value of Alpargatas' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Alpargatas' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
6.55
Real Value
9.21
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alpargatas SA helps investors to forecast how Alpargatas stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alpargatas more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alpargatas' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.258.098.93
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.847.5010.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.347.019.67
Details

Alpargatas Total Value Analysis

Alpargatas SA is presently projected to have takeover price of 9.13 B with market capitalization of 6.5 B, debt of 1.02 B, and cash on hands of 322.08 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Alpargatas fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
9.13 B
6.5 B
1.02 B
322.08 M

Alpargatas Investor Information

About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alpargatas SA last dividend was issued on the 3rd of January 2022. The entity had 125:100 split on the 21st of March 2019. Based on the key indicators related to Alpargatas' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Alpargatas SA is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in August.

Alpargatas Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Alpargatas has an asset utilization ratio of 49.2 percent. This implies that the Company is making R$0.49 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Alpargatas SA is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Alpargatas Ownership Allocation

Alpargatas holds a total of 339.51 Million outstanding shares. Alpargatas SA shows majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 88.77 percent of Alpargatas SA outstanding shares that are owned by insiders signifies that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Also note that nearly one million two hundred fifty-six thousand one hundred ninety-one invesors are currently shorting Alpargatas expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Alpargatas Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 4.18 B. Net Income was 121.46 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.93 B.

About Alpargatas Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Alpargatas' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Alpargatas SA based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alpargatas. We calculate exposure to Alpargatas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alpargatas's related companies.
Alpargatas S.A. manufactures and sells footwear, clothing, and accessories in Brazil. Alpargatas S.A. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Sao Paulo, Brazil. ALPARGATAS operates under Footwear Accessories classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange.

8 Steps to conduct Alpargatas' Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Alpargatas' potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Alpargatas' valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Alpargatas' financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Alpargatas' revenue streams: Identify Alpargatas' primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Alpargatas' industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Alpargatas' growth potential: Evaluate Alpargatas' management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Alpargatas' financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Alpargatas' estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Additional Tools for Alpargatas Stock Analysis

When running Alpargatas' price analysis, check to measure Alpargatas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpargatas is operating at the current time. Most of Alpargatas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpargatas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpargatas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpargatas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.