Aspen Technology Valuation

AZPNDelisted Stock  USD 264.33  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Aspen Technology shows a prevailing Real Value of $223.07 per share. The current price of the firm is $264.33. Our model approximates the value of Aspen Technology from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.01 %, current valuation of 16.65 B, and Return On Equity of 5.0E-4 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
264.33
Please note that Aspen Technology's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Aspen Technology is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Aspen Technology's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Aspen Technology is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Aspen Stock. However, Aspen Technology's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  264.33 Real  223.07 Hype  264.33 Naive  268.47
The intrinsic value of Aspen Technology's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Aspen Technology's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
223.07
Downside
223.07
Real Value
290.76
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Aspen Technology helps investors to forecast how Aspen stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Aspen Technology more accurately as focusing exclusively on Aspen Technology's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
263.40264.47265.54
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
264.33264.33264.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
268.47268.47268.47
Details

Aspen Technology Total Value Analysis

Aspen Technology is presently projected to have valuation of 16.65 B with market capitalization of 16.73 B, debt of 98 M, and cash on hands of 382.46 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Aspen Technology fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
16.65 B
16.73 B
98 M
382.46 M

Aspen Technology Investor Information

About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aspen Technology last dividend was issued on the 16th of August 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 3rd of March 1997. Based on the key measurements obtained from Aspen Technology's financial statements, Aspen Technology is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in August.

Aspen Technology Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Aspen suggests not a very effective usage of assets in July.

Aspen Technology Ownership Allocation

Aspen Technology holds a total of 63.31 Million outstanding shares. Aspen Technology retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Also note that nearly one million five hundred nineteen thousand four hundred two invesors are currently shorting Aspen Technology expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Aspen Technology Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 761.15 M.

About Aspen Technology Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aspen Technology. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Aspen Technology based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Aspen Technology's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Aspen Technology's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Aspen Technology. We calculate exposure to Aspen Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Aspen Technology's related companies.
Aspen Technology, Inc. provides enterprise asset performance management, asset performance monitoring, and asset optimization solutions worldwide. Aspen Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts. Aspen Technology operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3700 people.

Aspen Technology Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.682
Forward Price Earnings32.5733
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Aspen Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Aspen Technology check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Aspen Technology's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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