Natural Alternatives Valuation

NAII Stock  USD 3.49  0.08  2.35%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Natural Alternatives secures a last-minute Real Value of $2.76 per share. The latest price of the firm is $3.49. Our model forecasts the value of Natural Alternatives from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.07) %, current valuation of 68.95 M, and Return On Equity of -0.1 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Natural Alternatives' valuation include:
Price Book
0.2742
Enterprise Value
69 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
74.9735
Price Sales
0.1719
Enterprise Value Revenue
0.7092
Overvalued
Today
3.49
Please note that Natural Alternatives' price fluctuation is relatively risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Natural Alternatives is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Natural Alternatives' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Natural Alternatives is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Natural Stock. However, Natural Alternatives' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  3.49 Real  2.76 Hype  3.51 Naive  3.59
The intrinsic value of Natural Alternatives' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Natural Alternatives' stock price.
2.76
Real Value
5.45
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Natural Alternatives International helps investors to forecast how Natural stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Natural Alternatives more accurately as focusing exclusively on Natural Alternatives' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.183.373.56
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.823.516.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.903.596.28
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Natural Alternatives, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Natural Alternatives Cash

10.67 Million

Natural Valuation Trend

Natural Alternatives' real value analysis enables investors to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Natural Alternatives' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Natural Revenue by Product

Natural Alternatives Total Value Analysis

Natural Alternatives International is now forecasted to have valuation of 68.95 M with market capitalization of 21.56 M, debt of 60.29 M, and cash on hands of 21.83 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Natural Alternatives fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
68.95 M
21.56 M
60.29 M
21.83 M

Natural Alternatives Investor Information

About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.27. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Natural Alternatives recorded a loss per share of 1.39. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:50 split on the 5th of January 1990. Based on the key indicators related to Natural Alternatives' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Natural Alternatives International is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in August.

Natural Alternatives Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Natural Alternatives has an asset utilization ratio of 70.1 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.7 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Natural Alternatives International is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Natural Alternatives Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Natural Alternatives International is $21.56 Million. Natural Alternatives International holds significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Note, that even with negative profits, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company.

Natural Alternatives Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 113.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.17 M.

About Natural Alternatives Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Natural Stock, attempts to find the value of Natural Alternatives based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Natural Alternatives's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Natural Alternatives's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Natural Alternatives. We calculate exposure to Natural Alternatives's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Natural Alternatives's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit7.9 M7.5 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.10)(0.09)
Operating Profit Margin(0.09)(0.08)
Net Loss(0.07)(0.07)
Gross Profit Margin 0.07  0.07 

Natural Alternatives Quarterly Retained Earnings

66.61 Million

Natural Alternatives Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.741

Natural Alternatives Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Natural Alternatives International and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Natural we look at many different elements of the entity such as Natural's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Natural Alternatives, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Natural Alternatives' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Natural Alternatives' worth.

Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis

When running Natural Alternatives' price analysis, check to measure Natural Alternatives' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Alternatives is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Alternatives' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Alternatives' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Alternatives' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Alternatives to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.