Qudian Valuation

QD Stock  USD 3.19  0.03  0.93%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Qudian Inc holds a recent Real Value of $2.24 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $3.19. Our model determines the value of Qudian Inc from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0277, operating margin of (2.42) %, and Shares Outstanding of 101.64 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
0.3329
Enterprise Value
-545.5 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(0.11)
Price Sales
2.8264
Forward PE
3.8052
Overvalued
Today
3.19
Please note that Qudian's price fluctuation is unstable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Qudian Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Qudian's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Qudian stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Qudian Inc. Since Qudian is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Qudian Stock. However, Qudian's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  3.19 Real  2.24 Target  1.1 Hype  3.22 Naive  3.14
The real value of Qudian Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Qudian Inc Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Qudian's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Qudian's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
2.24
Real Value
4.70
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Qudian Inc helps investors to forecast how Qudian stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Qudian more accurately as focusing exclusively on Qudian's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.953.243.53
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.763.225.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.673.145.60
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1.001.101.22
Details

Qudian Total Value Analysis

Qudian Inc is at this time forecasted to have takeover value of (545.51 M) with market capitalization of 526.75 M, debt of 787.4 M, and cash on hands of 3.5 B. The negative valuation of Qudian may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding debt commitments of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should methodically examine all of the Qudian fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(545.51 M)
526.75 M
787.4 M
3.5 B

Qudian Investor Information

About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Qudian Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the analysis of Qudian's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Qudian Inc is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in August.

Qudian Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Qudian has an asset utilization ratio of 1.74 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.0174 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Qudian Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Qudian Ownership Allocation

Qudian owns a total of 101.64 Million outstanding shares. Qudian holds 15.26 pct. of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 17.62 pct. owned by third-party entities. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Qudian Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 216.43 M. Reported Net Income was 91.73 M with gross profit of 17.72 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Qudian's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Qudian and how it compares across the competition.

About Qudian Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Qudian's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Qudian. We calculate exposure to Qudian's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Qudian's related companies.
Qudian Inc. operates as a consumer-oriented technology company in the Peoples Republic of China. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the Peoples Republic of China. Qudian Inc operates under Credit Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 940 people.

Qudian Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Qudian does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding187.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.515
Forward Price Earnings3.8052

Complementary Tools for Qudian Stock analysis

When running Qudian's price analysis, check to measure Qudian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qudian is operating at the current time. Most of Qudian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qudian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qudian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qudian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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