Sirius XM Valuation

SIRI Stock  USD 23.56  0.13  0.55%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Sirius XM Holding has a current Real Value of $21.44 per share. The regular price of the company is $23.56. Our model measures the value of Sirius XM Holding from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 337.92 M, operating margin of 0.21 %, and Return On Equity of -0.48 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Sirius XM's valuation include:
Price Book
0.7188
Enterprise Value
18.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
6.7036
Price Sales
0.9252
Forward PE
8.5251
Overvalued
Today
23.56
Please note that Sirius XM's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Sirius XM Holding is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Sirius XM's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Sirius XM is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Sirius Stock. However, Sirius XM's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  23.56 Real  21.44 Target  23.81 Hype  23.49 Naive  22.33
The intrinsic value of Sirius XM's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Sirius XM's stock price.
21.44
Real Value
23.64
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Sirius XM Holding helps investors to forecast how Sirius stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Sirius XM more accurately as focusing exclusively on Sirius XM's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.710.750.87
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.2923.4925.69
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.300.310.32
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.6723.8126.43
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Sirius XM Holding, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Sirius XM Cash

267.93 Million

Sirius Valuation Trend

Sirius XM's real value analysis enables investors to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Sirius XM's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Sirius Revenue by Product

Sirius XM Total Value Analysis

Sirius XM Holding is at this time projected to have valuation of 18.55 B with market capitalization of 7.96 B, debt of 61 M, and cash on hands of 39 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Sirius XM fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company

Sirius XM Investor Information

About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.72. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sirius XM Holding has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.66. The entity recorded a loss per share of 5.05. The firm last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2025. Sirius XM had 1:10 split on the 10th of September 2024. Sirius XM Holding is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in August.

Sirius XM Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Sirius XM has an asset utilization ratio of 31.61 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.32 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Sirius XM Holding is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Sirius XM Ownership Allocation

Sirius XM Holding shows a total of 337.92 Million outstanding shares. Sirius XM Holding maintains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. On May 27, 2025, Senator John W Hickenlooper of US Senate acquired $50k to $100k worth of Sirius XM Holding's common stock.

Sirius XM Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.7 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.08 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.13 B.

Sirius XM Past Distributions to stockholders

About Sirius XM Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Sirius Stock, attempts to find the value of Sirius XM Holding based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Sirius XM's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Sirius XM's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Sirius XM. We calculate exposure to Sirius XM's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Sirius XM's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit4.2 B4.4 B
Pretax Profit Margin(0.21)(0.20)
Operating Profit Margin(0.17)(0.18)
Net Loss(0.19)(0.20)
Gross Profit Margin 0.48  0.51 
Sirius XM's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Sirius XM's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Sirius XM can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Sirius XM represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Sirius, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Sirius XM Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of now, Sirius XM's Dividends Paid is increasing as compared to previous years. The Sirius XM's current Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is estimated to increase to 2.10, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.01. . The Sirius XM's current Retained Earnings is estimated to increase to about 11.7 B, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is projected to decrease to (4 B).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid143 M237.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio(0.09)(0.08)
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 2.00  2.10 
There are various types of dividends Sirius XM can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Sirius shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Sirius XM Holding directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Sirius pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Sirius XM by the value of the dividends paid out.

Sirius XM Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding338 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.148
Forward Price Earnings8.5251

Sirius XM Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Sirius XM Holding and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Sirius we look at many different elements of the entity such as Sirius's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Sirius XM, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Sirius XM's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Sirius XM's worth.

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When running Sirius XM's price analysis, check to measure Sirius XM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sirius XM is operating at the current time. Most of Sirius XM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sirius XM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sirius XM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sirius XM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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