Cheetah Mobile Stock Volatility

CMCM Stock  USD 5.33  0.17  3.29%   
Cheetah Mobile appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Cheetah Mobile secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which signifies that the company had a 0.22 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing Cheetah Mobile's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.63% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Cheetah Mobile's mean deviation of 2.28, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2018 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Cheetah Mobile's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Cheetah Mobile Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Cheetah daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Cheetah's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Cheetah Mobile volatility.

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Cheetah Mobile's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Cheetah Mobile's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Cheetah Mobile can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Cheetah Mobile at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Cheetah stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Cheetah Mobile's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Cheetah Mobile Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Cheetah Mobile's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Cheetah stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Cheetah stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Cheetah Mobile's beta of 0.0062 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Cheetah Mobile stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Cheetah Mobile currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.16 and Jensen Alpha of 0.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cheetah Mobile's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cheetah Mobile's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Cheetah Mobile Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Cheetah Mobile correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Cheetah Beta

    
  0.0062  
Cheetah standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.85  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Cheetah Mobile's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Cheetah Mobile's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in cheetah stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Cheetah Mobile.

Using Cheetah Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Cheetah Mobile grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Cheetah Mobile at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Cheetah Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Cheetah Mobile's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Cheetah Mobile will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Cheetah Mobile's PUT expiring on 2025-09-19

   Profit   
       Cheetah Mobile Price At Expiration  

Current Cheetah Mobile Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
CMCM250919P00007500-0.8096130.15751622025-09-192.1 - 2.50.0View
Put
CMCM250919P00005000-0.3396550.29174312482025-09-190.0 - 0.650.0View
View All Cheetah Mobile Options

Cheetah Mobile Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Cheetah Mobile stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Cheetah Mobile's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Cheetah Mobile's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Cheetah Mobile's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Cheetah Mobile's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Cheetah Mobile's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Cheetah Mobile's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Cheetah Mobile's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Cheetah Mobile Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Cheetah Mobile Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cheetah Mobile has a beta of 0.0062 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cheetah Mobile average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cheetah Mobile will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cheetah Mobile or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cheetah Mobile's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cheetah stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Cheetah Mobile has an alpha of 0.5737, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Cheetah Mobile's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how cheetah stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Cheetah Mobile Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Cheetah Mobile Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Cheetah Mobile is 451.68. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.09 and standard deviation of 2.85. The mean deviation of Cheetah Mobile is currently at 2.33. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.93
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
2.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Cheetah Mobile Stock Return Volatility

Cheetah Mobile historical daily return volatility represents how much of Cheetah Mobile stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 2.8451% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8415% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Cheetah Mobile Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Cheetah Mobile or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Cheetah Mobile may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Cheetah's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Cheetah Mobile and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Cheetah Mobile fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses342.4 M386.9 M
Market CapB958.8 M
Cheetah Mobile's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Cheetah Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Cheetah Mobile's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Cheetah Mobile's volatility to invest better

Higher Cheetah Mobile's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Cheetah Mobile stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Cheetah Mobile stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Cheetah Mobile investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Cheetah Mobile's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Cheetah Mobile's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Cheetah Mobile Investment Opportunity

Cheetah Mobile has a volatility of 2.85 and is 3.39 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Cheetah Mobile is lower than 25 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Cheetah Mobile to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Cheetah Mobile to be traded at $6.4 in 90 days.

Cheetah Mobile Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cheetah Mobile's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cheetah Mobile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Cheetah Mobile stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Cheetah Mobile Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Cheetah Mobile as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Cheetah Mobile's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Cheetah Mobile's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Cheetah Mobile.
When determining whether Cheetah Mobile is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheetah Mobile's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheetah Mobile's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheetah Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cheetah Mobile. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
To learn how to invest in Cheetah Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cheetah Mobile guide.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cheetah Mobile. If investors know Cheetah will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cheetah Mobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Earnings Share
(2.68)
Revenue Per Share
29.023
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.361
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of Cheetah Mobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cheetah that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cheetah Mobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cheetah Mobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cheetah Mobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cheetah Mobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cheetah Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cheetah Mobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheetah Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.