Hoth Therapeutics Stock Volatility
| HOTH Stock | USD 1.25 0.09 6.72% |
Hoth Therapeutics is abnormally volatile given 3 months investment horizon. Hoth Therapeutics holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.15% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Hoth Therapeutics Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1048, downside deviation of 5.64, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.8585 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Hoth Therapeutics' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Hoth Therapeutics Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Hoth daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Hoth's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Hoth Therapeutics volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Hoth Therapeutics at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Hoth stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with Hoth Stock
Moving against Hoth Stock
Hoth Therapeutics Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Hoth Therapeutics' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Hoth stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Hoth stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Hoth Therapeutics's beta of 1.16 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Hoth Therapeutics stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Hoth Therapeutics is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hoth Therapeutics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hoth Therapeutics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Hoth Therapeutics Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Hoth Therapeutics correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Hoth Beta |
Hoth standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 9.84 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Hoth Therapeutics's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Hoth Therapeutics' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in hoth stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Hoth Therapeutics.
Hoth Therapeutics Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Hoth Therapeutics stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Hoth Therapeutics' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Hoth Therapeutics' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Hoth Therapeutics' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Hoth Therapeutics' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Hoth Therapeutics' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Hoth Therapeutics' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Hoth Therapeutics' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Hoth Therapeutics Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Hoth Therapeutics Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1555 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hoth Therapeutics will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hoth Therapeutics or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hoth Therapeutics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hoth stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Hoth Therapeutics has an alpha of 0.8293, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Hoth Therapeutics Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Hoth Therapeutics Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Hoth Therapeutics is 853.6. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 96.9 and standard deviation of 9.84. The mean deviation of Hoth Therapeutics is currently at 4.88. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.93
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Hoth Therapeutics Stock Return Volatility
Hoth Therapeutics historical daily return volatility represents how much of Hoth Therapeutics stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 9.8437% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8352% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Hoth Therapeutics Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Hoth Therapeutics or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Hoth Therapeutics may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Hoth's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Hoth Therapeutics and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Hoth Therapeutics fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 4.8 M | 2.8 M | |
| Market Cap | 4.8 M | 4.5 M |
Hoth Therapeutics' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Hoth Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Hoth Therapeutics' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Hoth Therapeutics' volatility to invest better
Higher Hoth Therapeutics' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Hoth Therapeutics stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Hoth Therapeutics stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Hoth Therapeutics investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Hoth Therapeutics' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Hoth Therapeutics' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Hoth Therapeutics Investment Opportunity
Hoth Therapeutics has a volatility of 9.84 and is 11.71 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 88 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Hoth Therapeutics. You can use Hoth Therapeutics to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Hoth Therapeutics to be traded at $1.1875 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Hoth Therapeutics and DJI is 0.11 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Hoth Therapeutics and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Hoth Therapeutics Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hoth Therapeutics' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hoth Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Hoth Therapeutics stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1048 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.8585 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.83 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.79 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.64 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 975.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.66 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Hoth Therapeutics Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Hoth Therapeutics as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Hoth Therapeutics' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Hoth Therapeutics' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Hoth Therapeutics.
Complementary Tools for Hoth Stock analysis
When running Hoth Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Hoth Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hoth Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Hoth Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hoth Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hoth Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hoth Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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