Intercont Limited Ordinary Stock Volatility

NCT Stock   3.38  0.12  3.43%   
Intercont Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.053, which attests that the entity had a -0.053 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Intercont Limited exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Intercont Limited's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.18), standard deviation of 9.73, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Intercont Limited's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Intercont Limited Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Intercont daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Intercont's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Intercont Limited volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Intercont Limited can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Intercont Limited at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Intercont stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Intercont Limited's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Intercont Limited Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Intercont Limited's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Intercont stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Intercont stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Intercont Limited's beta of 1.89 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Intercont Limited stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Intercont Limited Ordinary is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Intercont Limited's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Intercont Limited's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Intercont Limited Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Intercont Limited correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Intercont Beta

    
  1.89  
Intercont standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  7.97  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Intercont Limited's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Intercont Limited's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in intercont stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Intercont Limited.

Intercont Limited Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Intercont Limited stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Intercont Limited's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Intercont Limited's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Intercont Limited's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Intercont Limited's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Intercont Limited's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Intercont Limited's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Intercont Limited's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Intercont Limited Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Intercont Limited Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.891 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intercont Limited will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Intercont Limited or Marine Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Intercont Limited's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Intercont stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Intercont Limited Ordinary has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Intercont Limited's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how intercont stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Intercont Limited Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Intercont Limited Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Intercont Limited is -1885.82. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 63.56 and standard deviation of 7.97. The mean deviation of Intercont Limited Ordinary is currently at 6.21. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.93
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.89
σ
Overall volatility
7.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Intercont Limited Stock Return Volatility

Intercont Limited historical daily return volatility represents how much of Intercont Limited stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 7.9722% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8352% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Intercont Limited Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Intercont Limited or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Intercont Limited may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Intercont's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Intercont Limited and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Intercont Limited fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Market Cap152.4 M135.5 M
Intercont Limited's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Intercont Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Intercont Limited's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Intercont Limited's volatility to invest better

Higher Intercont Limited's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Intercont Limited stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Intercont Limited stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Intercont Limited investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Intercont Limited's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Intercont Limited's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Intercont Limited Investment Opportunity

Intercont Limited Ordinary has a volatility of 7.97 and is 9.49 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 71 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Intercont Limited. You can use Intercont Limited Ordinary to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Intercont Limited to be traded at 3.24 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between Intercont Limited Ordinary and DJI is 0.18 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intercont Limited Ordinary and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Intercont Limited Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intercont Limited's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intercont Limited's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Intercont Limited stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Intercont Limited Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Intercont Limited as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Intercont Limited's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Intercont Limited's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Intercont Limited Ordinary.

Additional Tools for Intercont Stock Analysis

When running Intercont Limited's price analysis, check to measure Intercont Limited's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intercont Limited is operating at the current time. Most of Intercont Limited's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intercont Limited's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intercont Limited's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intercont Limited to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.