Dollar Tree Earnings Estimate

DLTR Stock  USD 110.12  1.97  1.82%   
The next projected EPS of Dollar Tree is estimated to be 0.3818 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.32 to a high of 0.49. Dollar Tree's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 5.07. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Dollar Tree is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Dollar Tree is projected to generate 0.3818 in earnings per share on the 31st of July 2025. Dollar Tree earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Dollar Tree EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Dollar Tree's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Dollar Tree, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Dollar Tree's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Dollar Tree's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At this time, Dollar Tree's Pretax Profit Margin is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 07/21/2025, Operating Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.11, while Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 3.4 B. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Dollar Tree. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
To learn how to invest in Dollar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Dollar Tree guide.

Dollar Tree Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Dollar Tree's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Dollar Tree is estimated to be 0.3818 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.32 to a high of 0.49. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Dollar Tree is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.26
0.32
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.3818
0.49
Highest

Dollar Tree Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Dollar Tree's value are higher than the current market price of the Dollar Tree stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Dollar Tree is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Dollar Tree's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of July 2025Current EPS (TTM)
2792.33%
1.26
0.3818
5.07

Dollar Tree Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Dollar Tree analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Dollar Tree's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Dollar Tree's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Gross Profit

1.65 Billion

At this time, Dollar Tree's Retained Earnings Total Equity is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 07/21/2025, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.06, while Retained Earnings are likely to drop slightly above 2.4 B. As of 07/21/2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 216.7 M. Also, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 2 B.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dollar Tree's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
107.53109.93112.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.99104.39121.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.98110.38112.78
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
79.8487.7497.39
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Dollar assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Dollar Tree. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Dollar Tree's stock price in the short term.

Dollar Tree Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Dollar Tree refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Dollar Tree predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Dollar Tree, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Dollar Tree Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Dollar Tree, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Dollar Tree should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Dollar Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Dollar Tree's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-06-04
2025-04-301.211.260.05
2025-03-26
2025-01-312.192.11-0.08
2024-12-04
2024-10-311.071.120.05
2024-09-04
2024-07-311.040.67-0.3735 
2024-06-05
2024-04-301.421.430.01
2024-03-13
2024-01-312.652.55-0.1
2023-11-29
2023-10-311.011.020.01
2023-08-24
2023-07-310.870.910.04
2023-05-25
2023-04-301.521.47-0.05
2023-03-01
2023-01-312.022.040.02
2022-11-22
2022-10-311.181.20.02
2022-08-25
2022-07-311.591.60.01
2022-05-26
2022-04-3022.370.3718 
2022-03-02
2022-01-311.772.010.2413 
2021-11-23
2021-10-310.960.960.0
2021-08-26
2021-07-3111.230.2323 
2021-05-27
2021-04-301.41.60.214 
2021-03-03
2021-01-312.112.130.02
2020-11-24
2020-10-311.151.390.2420 
2020-08-27
2020-07-310.921.10.1819 
2020-05-28
2020-04-300.851.040.1922 
2020-03-04
2020-01-311.751.790.04
2019-11-26
2019-10-311.131.08-0.05
2019-08-29
2019-07-310.810.76-0.05
2019-05-30
2019-04-301.141.140.0
2019-03-06
2019-01-311.921.930.01
2018-11-29
2018-10-311.141.180.04
2018-08-30
2018-07-311.151.150.0
2018-05-31
2018-04-301.231.19-0.04
2018-03-07
2018-01-311.91.89-0.01
2017-11-21
2017-10-310.91.010.1112 
2017-08-24
2017-07-310.870.990.1213 
2017-05-25
2017-04-300.980.980.0
2017-03-01
2017-01-311.321.360.04
2016-11-22
2016-10-310.780.810.03
2016-08-25
2016-07-310.730.72-0.01
2016-05-26
2016-04-300.810.890.08
2016-03-01
2016-01-311.071.01-0.06
2015-11-24
2015-10-310.530.49-0.04
2015-09-01
2015-07-310.650.670.02
2015-05-21
2015-04-300.750.71-0.04
2015-02-25
2015-01-311.151.160.01
2014-11-20
2014-10-310.640.690.05
2014-08-21
2014-07-310.640.61-0.03
2014-05-22
2014-04-300.660.670.01
2014-02-26
2014-01-311.051.02-0.03
2013-11-21
2013-10-310.60.58-0.02
2013-08-22
2013-07-310.570.56-0.01
2013-05-23
2013-04-300.570.590.02
2013-02-27
2013-01-310.991.010.02
2012-11-15
2012-10-310.490.510.02
2012-08-16
2012-07-310.470.510.04
2012-05-17
2012-04-300.490.50.01
2012-02-22
2012-01-310.790.80.01
2011-11-17
2011-10-310.420.440.02
2011-08-18
2011-07-310.380.390.01
2011-05-19
2011-04-300.370.410.0410 
2011-02-23
2011-01-310.630.650.02
2010-11-18
2010-10-310.310.370.0619 
2010-08-19
2010-07-310.270.310.0414 
2010-05-20
2010-04-300.280.310.0310 
2010-02-24
2010-01-310.480.510.03
2009-11-24
2009-10-310.220.250.0313 
2009-08-26
2009-07-310.180.210.0316 
2009-05-27
2009-04-300.20.220.0210 
2009-02-25
2009-01-310.380.380.0
2008-11-25
2008-10-310.150.160.01
2008-08-27
2008-07-310.140.140.0
2008-05-28
2008-04-300.140.160.0214 
2008-02-27
2008-01-310.340.350.01
2007-11-28
2007-10-310.120.130.01
2007-08-29
2007-07-310.110.110.0
2007-05-30
2007-04-300.120.130.01
2007-02-28
2007-01-310.310.320.01
2006-11-21
2006-10-310.110.110.0
2006-08-23
2006-07-310.090.090.0
2006-05-24
2006-04-300.10.10.0
2006-02-22
2006-01-310.270.270.0
2005-11-22
2005-10-310.090.10.0111 
2005-08-24
2005-07-310.080.080.0
2005-05-25
2005-04-300.090.090.0
2005-02-23
2005-01-310.260.260.0
2004-11-23
2004-10-310.090.090.0
2004-08-25
2004-07-310.090.090.0
2004-05-26
2004-04-300.10.10.0
2004-02-24
2004-01-310.230.230.0
2003-11-25
2003-10-310.10.10.0
2003-08-26
2003-07-310.080.080.0
2003-05-29
2003-04-300.090.10.0111 
2001-01-23
2000-10-310.190.190.0
2000-10-24
2000-07-310.060.060.0
2000-07-19
2000-04-300.070.070.0
2000-04-25
2000-01-310.040.050.0125 
2000-01-25
1999-10-310.180.180.0
1999-10-21
1999-07-310.050.050.0
1999-07-21
1999-04-300.050.050.0
1999-04-22
1999-01-310.030.040.0133 

About Dollar Tree Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Dollar Tree earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Dollar Tree estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Dollar Tree fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings3.9 B2.4 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity9.3 B9.8 B
Earnings Yield(0.19) 0.06 
Price Earnings Ratio(5.22) 17.92 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio(0.03) 0.83 

Pair Trading with Dollar Tree

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dollar Tree position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dollar Tree will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Dollar Stock

  0.81TGT TargetPairCorr

Moving against Dollar Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dollar Tree could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dollar Tree when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dollar Tree - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dollar Tree to buy it.
The correlation of Dollar Tree is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dollar Tree moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dollar Tree moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dollar Tree can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Dollar Stock Analysis

When running Dollar Tree's price analysis, check to measure Dollar Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.