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Ecopetrol Earnings Estimate

EC Stock  USD 11.85  0.21  1.80%   
The next projected EPS of Ecopetrol is estimated to be 0.67 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.51 to a high of 1.08. Ecopetrol's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.6. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Ecopetrol SA ADR is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Ecopetrol is projected to generate 0.67 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2024. Ecopetrol earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Ecopetrol SA ADR EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Ecopetrol, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Ecopetrol's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Ecopetrol's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At present, Ecopetrol's Net Profit Margin is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Gross Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.40, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 23.4 T.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ecopetrol SA ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Ecopetrol Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Ecopetrol's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Ecopetrol is estimated to be 0.67 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.51 to a high of 1.08. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Ecopetrol SA ADR is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.51
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.67
1.08
Highest

Ecopetrol Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Ecopetrol's value are higher than the current market price of the Ecopetrol stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Ecopetrol is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Ecopetrol's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2024Current EPS (TTM)
1279.11%
0.0
0.67
2.6

Ecopetrol Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Ecopetrol SA ADR analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Ecopetrol's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Ecopetrol's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Ecopetrol Quarterly Gross Profit

7.36 Trillion

The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 21.6 T, whereas Earnings Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.01. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 40.4 T, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 2 B.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ecopetrol's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0711.8013.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4412.1713.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.6211.3513.09
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.7712.9314.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ecopetrol. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ecopetrol's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ecopetrol's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ecopetrol SA ADR. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Ecopetrol assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Ecopetrol. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Ecopetrol's stock price in the short term.

Ecopetrol Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Ecopetrol refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Ecopetrol SA ADR predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Ecopetrol, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Ecopetrol Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Ecopetrol, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Ecopetrol should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Ecopetrol Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ecopetrol's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
null
nullnullnullnull
2024-02-29
2023-12-310.540.51-0.03
2023-11-07
2023-09-300.510.610.119 
2023-08-08
2023-06-300.510.45-0.0611 
2023-05-10
2023-03-312620.843028.52407.6815 
2023-02-28
2022-12-310.820.69-0.1315 
2022-11-23
2022-09-301.361.06-0.322 
2022-08-09
2022-06-301.041.30.2625 
2022-05-11
2022-03-3113516.923515.92351592 
2022-03-01
2021-12-310.570.760.1933 
2021-11-09
2021-09-300.60.48-0.1220 
2021-08-03
2021-06-300.480.490.01
2021-05-07
2021-03-310.420.420.0
2021-03-03
2020-12-310.240.09-0.1562 
2020-10-27
2020-09-300.170.11-0.0635 
2020-08-04
2020-06-300.020.003-0.01785 
2020-05-11
2020-03-310.130.0183-0.111785 
2020-02-26
2019-12-310.480.570.0918 
2019-11-12
2019-09-300.50.44-0.0612 
2019-08-13
2019-06-300.550.52-0.03
2019-05-07
2019-03-310.350.430.0822 
2019-02-26
2018-12-310.440.4-0.04
2018-10-31
2018-09-300.560.45-0.1119 
2018-08-14
2018-06-300.570.60.03
2018-05-03
2018-03-310.410.44750.0375
2018-02-27
2017-12-310.260.560.3115 
2017-11-07
2017-09-300.230.16-0.0730 
2017-08-08
2017-06-300.190.220.0315 
2017-05-12
2017-03-310.230.14-0.0939 
2017-03-06
2016-12-310.160.03-0.1381 
2016-11-15
2016-09-300.140.04-0.171 
2016-08-16
2016-06-300.140.13-0.01
2016-05-07
2016-03-31-0.060.060.12200 
2016-03-06
2015-12-310.15-1.0-1.15766 
2015-11-18
2015-09-300.320.11-0.2165 
2015-08-06
2015-06-300.20.290.0945 
2015-05-12
2015-03-310.080.03-0.0562 
2015-03-02
2014-12-310.39-0.18-0.57146 
2014-10-31
2014-09-300.750.58-0.1722 
2014-07-31
2014-06-300.820.71-0.1113 
2014-05-01
2014-03-310.830.8-0.03
2014-02-25
2013-12-310.910.63-0.2830 
2013-10-30
2013-09-300.970.980.01
2013-07-31
2013-06-300.820.850.03
2013-05-05
2013-03-311.010.05-0.9695 
2013-02-15
2012-12-311.271.0-0.2721 
2012-10-30
2012-09-301.020.87-0.1514 
2012-02-15
2011-12-311.061.120.06
2011-10-24
2011-09-300.851.150.335 
2011-07-21
2011-06-301.050.94-0.1110 

About Ecopetrol Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Ecopetrol earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Ecopetrol estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Ecopetrol fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings20.6 T21.6 T
Retained Earnings Total Equity 0.00  0.00 
Earnings Yield 0.01  0.01 
Price Earnings Ratio 90.12  51.10 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio(2.10)(1.99)

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ecopetrol will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Ecopetrol Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ecopetrol could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ecopetrol when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ecopetrol - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ecopetrol SA ADR to buy it.
The correlation of Ecopetrol is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ecopetrol moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ecopetrol SA ADR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ecopetrol can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Ecopetrol SA ADR offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ecopetrol's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ecopetrol Sa Adr Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ecopetrol Sa Adr Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ecopetrol SA ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Note that the Ecopetrol SA ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ecopetrol's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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Is Ecopetrol's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ecopetrol. If investors know Ecopetrol will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ecopetrol listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Earnings Share
2.6
Revenue Per Share
34.8 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
0.0881
The market value of Ecopetrol SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ecopetrol that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ecopetrol's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ecopetrol's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ecopetrol's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ecopetrol's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ecopetrol's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ecopetrol is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ecopetrol's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.