ESTsoft Corp Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
047560 Stock | 23,500 100.00 0.42% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ESTsoft Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23,587 with a mean absolute deviation of 897.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54,777. ESTsoft Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ESTsoft Corp stock prices and determine the direction of ESTsoft Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ESTsoft Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ESTsoft Corp to cross-verify your projections. ESTsoft |
Most investors in ESTsoft Corp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the ESTsoft Corp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets ESTsoft Corp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
ESTsoft Corp polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for ESTsoft Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. ESTsoft Corp Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ESTsoft Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23,587 with a mean absolute deviation of 897.99, mean absolute percentage error of 1,422,035, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54,777.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ESTsoft Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ESTsoft Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ESTsoft Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
Backtest ESTsoft Corp | ESTsoft Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ESTsoft Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ESTsoft Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ESTsoft Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23,583 and 23,591, respectively. We have considered ESTsoft Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ESTsoft Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ESTsoft Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 132.2781 |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 897.9875 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0312 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 54777.2395 |
Predictive Modules for ESTsoft Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ESTsoft Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ESTsoft Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for ESTsoft Corp
For every potential investor in ESTsoft, whether a beginner or expert, ESTsoft Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ESTsoft Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ESTsoft. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ESTsoft Corp's price trends.ESTsoft Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ESTsoft Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ESTsoft Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ESTsoft Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
ESTsoft Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ESTsoft Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ESTsoft Corp's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
ESTsoft Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ESTsoft Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ESTsoft Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ESTsoft Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ESTsoft Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Accumulation Distribution | 5564.0 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (0.09) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
Day Median Price | 23150.0 | |||
Day Typical Price | 23266.67 | |||
Market Facilitation Index | 0.0092 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 300.0 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (100.00) | |||
Relative Strength Index | 38.45 |
ESTsoft Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of ESTsoft Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ESTsoft Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting estsoft stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 3.46 | |||
Standard Deviation | 5.57 | |||
Variance | 31.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ESTsoft Corp to cross-verify your projections. Note that the ESTsoft Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ESTsoft Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for ESTsoft Stock analysis
When running ESTsoft Corp's price analysis, check to measure ESTsoft Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ESTsoft Corp is operating at the current time. Most of ESTsoft Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ESTsoft Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ESTsoft Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ESTsoft Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators |