LMS Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

073110 Stock  KRW 6,200  20.00  0.32%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of LMS Co on the next trading day is expected to be 6,067 with a mean absolute deviation of  96.76  and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,902. LMS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LMS stock prices and determine the direction of LMS Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LMS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LMS to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in LMS cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the LMS's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets LMS's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
LMS polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for LMS Co as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

LMS Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of LMS Co on the next trading day is expected to be 6,067 with a mean absolute deviation of 96.76, mean absolute percentage error of 13,819, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,902.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LMS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LMS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LMS Stock Forecast Pattern

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LMS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LMS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LMS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6,066 and 6,068, respectively. We have considered LMS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6,200
6,067
Expected Value
6,068
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LMS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LMS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.6443
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation96.7559
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0158
SAESum of the absolute errors5902.1091
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the LMS historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for LMS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LMS Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LMS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,1996,2006,201
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,6965,6976,820
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
5,7446,0336,321
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LMS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LMS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LMS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LMS Co.

Other Forecasting Options for LMS

For every potential investor in LMS, whether a beginner or expert, LMS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LMS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LMS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LMS's price trends.

LMS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LMS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LMS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LMS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LMS Co Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LMS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LMS's current price.

LMS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LMS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LMS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LMS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LMS Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LMS Risk Indicators

The analysis of LMS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LMS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lms stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Thematic Ideas
Explore Investing Ideas  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LMS to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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When running LMS's price analysis, check to measure LMS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LMS is operating at the current time. Most of LMS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LMS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LMS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LMS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between LMS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LMS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LMS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.