Amundi Index Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

500E Etf  EUR 93.11  0.21  0.23%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Amundi Index Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 94.00 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.48  and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.26. Amundi Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Amundi Index stock prices and determine the direction of Amundi Index Solutions's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Amundi Index's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out fundamental analysis of Amundi Index to check your projections.
  
Most investors in Amundi Index cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, etf markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Amundi Index's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Amundi Index's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Amundi Index is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Amundi Index Solutions value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Amundi Index Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Amundi Index Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 94.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amundi Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amundi Index's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amundi Index Etf Forecast Pattern

Amundi Index Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amundi Index's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amundi Index's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.29 and 94.72, respectively. We have considered Amundi Index's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
93.11
94.00
Expected Value
94.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amundi Index etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amundi Index etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1374
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4797
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0052
SAESum of the absolute errors29.2592
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Amundi Index Solutions. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Amundi Index. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Amundi Index

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi Index Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amundi Index's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amundi Index. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amundi Index's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amundi Index's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amundi Index Solutions.

Other Forecasting Options for Amundi Index

For every potential investor in Amundi, whether a beginner or expert, Amundi Index's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amundi Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amundi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amundi Index's price trends.

Amundi Index Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amundi Index etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amundi Index could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amundi Index by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amundi Index Solutions Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amundi Index's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amundi Index's current price.

Amundi Index Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amundi Index etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amundi Index shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amundi Index etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amundi Index Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amundi Index Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amundi Index's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amundi Index's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amundi etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Thematic Ideas
Explore Investing Ideas  
Check out fundamental analysis of Amundi Index to check your projections.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amundi Index's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amundi Index is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amundi Index's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.