ACNB Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ACNB Stock | USD 49.74 1.26 2.60% |
ACNB Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ACNB stock prices and determine the direction of ACNB Corporation's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ACNB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of ACNB's share price is at 54. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ACNB, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ACNB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ACNB Corporation from the perspective of ACNB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ACNB Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 49.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.12. ACNB after-hype prediction price | USD 49.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ACNB to cross-verify your projections. ACNB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ACNB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ACNB using various technical indicators. When you analyze ACNB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ACNB Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ACNB Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 49.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ACNB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ACNB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ACNB Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ACNB | ACNB Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ACNB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ACNB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ACNB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.58 and 50.64, respectively. We have considered ACNB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ACNB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ACNB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1182 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1113 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.697 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0142 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.125 |
Predictive Modules for ACNB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACNB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ACNB After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ACNB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ACNB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ACNB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ACNB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ACNB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ACNB's historical news coverage. ACNB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.21 and 51.27, respectively. We have considered ACNB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ACNB is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ACNB is based on 3 months time horizon.
ACNB Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ACNB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ACNB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ACNB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
49.74 | 49.74 | 0.00 |
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ACNB Hype Timeline
ACNB is presently traded for 49.74. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ACNB is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on ACNB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.74. About 39.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.2. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ACNB last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The entity had 105:100 split on the 28th of November 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ACNB to cross-verify your projections.ACNB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ACNB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ACNB's future price movements. Getting to know how ACNB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ACNB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AROW | Arrow Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.13 | 3.59 | (2.70) | 9.60 | |
| PFIS | Peoples Fin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.13 | 3.04 | (1.89) | 8.79 | |
| SHBI | Shore Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.15 | 3.11 | (1.59) | 8.64 | |
| BWB | Bridgewater Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | 0.12 | 3.22 | (1.96) | 9.97 | |
| CBNK | Capital Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.07 | 2.67 | (1.59) | 8.39 | |
| BHB | Bar Harbor Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.11 | 3.28 | (2.17) | 8.32 | |
| UNTY | Unity Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | 0.12 | 3.33 | (2.87) | 7.55 | |
| FMNB | Farmers National Banc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | (0.03) | 2.82 | (2.30) | 11.02 | |
| NRIM | Northrim BanCorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.33 | 0.02 | 4.46 | (3.09) | 21.03 | |
| COFS | ChoiceOne Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | 0.01 | 3.72 | (2.34) | 10.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for ACNB
For every potential investor in ACNB, whether a beginner or expert, ACNB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ACNB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ACNB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ACNB's price trends.ACNB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ACNB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ACNB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ACNB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ACNB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ACNB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ACNB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ACNB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ACNB Corporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ACNB Risk Indicators
The analysis of ACNB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ACNB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acnb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ACNB
The number of cover stories for ACNB depends on current market conditions and ACNB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ACNB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ACNB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ACNB to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ACNB. If investors know ACNB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive ACNB assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding ACNB requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects ACNB's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what ACNB's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push ACNB's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that ACNB's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether ACNB represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, ACNB's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.