Alector Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| ALEC Stock | USD 1.94 0.02 1.04% |
Alector Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Alector stock prices and determine the direction of Alector's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alector's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of Alector's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.42) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.43) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.95) | Wall Street Target Price 2.1 |
Using Alector hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alector from the perspective of Alector response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alector using Alector's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alector using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alector's stock price.
Alector Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Alector's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Alector. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Alector stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 1.7643 | Short Percent 0.0694 | Short Ratio 3.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.3 M | 50 Day MA 1.4602 |
Alector Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Alector's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alector. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alector can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alector. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Alector Implied Volatility | 1.36 |
Alector's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alector stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alector's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alector stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alector's options are near their expiration.
Alector after-hype prediction price | USD 1.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alector to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Alector contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Alector will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.085% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Alector trading at USD 1.94, that is roughly USD 0.001649 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Alector's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Alector options at the current volatility level of 1.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Alector Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alector's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alector's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alector stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alector's open interest, investors have to compare it to Alector's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alector is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alector. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Alector Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alector price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alector using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alector charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 33601.29 | 20779.48 |
| Check Alector Volatility | Backtest Alector | Information Ratio |
Alector Trading Date Momentum
| On January 23 2026 Alector was traded for 1.94 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 1.94 and the lowest listed price was 1.88 . The trading volume for the day was 671.9 K. The trading history from January 23, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 2.58% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Alector to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Alector
For every potential investor in Alector, whether a beginner or expert, Alector's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alector Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alector. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alector's price trends.Alector Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alector stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alector could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alector by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alector Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alector stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alector shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alector stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alector entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 20779.48 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3333 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.91 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.04 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 |
Alector Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alector's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alector's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alector stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.36 | |||
| Variance | 54.19 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alector
The number of cover stories for Alector depends on current market conditions and Alector's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alector is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alector's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alector Short Properties
Alector's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alector's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alector often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alector's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alector's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 413.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alector to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Alector Stock refer to our How to Trade Alector Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alector. If investors know Alector will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alector listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Earnings Share (1.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.79) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alector is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alector that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alector's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alector's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alector's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alector's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alector's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alector is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alector's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.