AtlasClear Holdings Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ATCH Stock  USD 0.26  0  1.54%   
AtlasClear Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AtlasClear Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of AtlasClear Holdings' share price is approaching 42. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AtlasClear Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of AtlasClear Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AtlasClear Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting AtlasClear Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.516
Using AtlasClear Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AtlasClear Holdings from the perspective of AtlasClear Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AtlasClear Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.83.

AtlasClear Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AtlasClear Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in AtlasClear Stock please use our How to Invest in AtlasClear Holdings guide.

AtlasClear Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AtlasClear price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AtlasClear using various technical indicators. When you analyze AtlasClear charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A four-period moving average forecast model for AtlasClear Holdings is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

AtlasClear Holdings 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AtlasClear Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AtlasClear Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AtlasClear Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AtlasClear Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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AtlasClear Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AtlasClear Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AtlasClear Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.06, respectively. We have considered AtlasClear Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.26
0.26
Expected Value
5.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AtlasClear Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AtlasClear Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.788
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0034
MADMean absolute deviation0.0146
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0494
SAESum of the absolute errors0.834
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of AtlasClear Holdings. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for AtlasClear Holdings and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for AtlasClear Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AtlasClear Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AtlasClear Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.265.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.255.08
Details

AtlasClear Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AtlasClear Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AtlasClear Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AtlasClear Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AtlasClear Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AtlasClear Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AtlasClear Holdings' historical news coverage. AtlasClear Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.09, respectively. We have considered AtlasClear Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.26
0.26
After-hype Price
5.09
Upside
AtlasClear Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AtlasClear Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

AtlasClear Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AtlasClear Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AtlasClear Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AtlasClear Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.52 
4.79
  0.02 
  0.01 
6 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.26
0.26
0.00 
15,967  
Notes

AtlasClear Holdings Hype Timeline

AtlasClear Holdings is presently traded for 0.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. AtlasClear is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.52%. %. The volatility of related hype on AtlasClear Holdings is about 17740.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.27. The company recorded a loss per share of 40.97. AtlasClear Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:60 split on the 2nd of January 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AtlasClear Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in AtlasClear Stock please use our How to Invest in AtlasClear Holdings guide.

AtlasClear Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AtlasClear Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AtlasClear Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how AtlasClear Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AtlasClear Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
APCXApptech Corp 0.00 0 per month 7.46  0.16  21.62 (10.81) 95.15 
OBLGOblong Inc(0.20)25 per month 0.00 (0.09) 8.84 (10.76) 33.41 
SGNSigning Day Sports 0.04 9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 12.50 (18.52) 75.32 
GITSGlobal Interactive Technologies 0.00 7 per month 7.08  0.1  15.29 (12.50) 103.59 
FTFTFuture Fintech Group 0.27 9 per month 0.00 (0.32) 7.48 (11.84) 26.43 
HPAIHelport AI Limited 0.04 8 per month 4.52 (0.01) 7.14 (6.85) 18.92 
JTAIJetAI Inc(0.05)8 per month 0.00 (0.33) 10.17 (17.24) 52.18 
QCLSQC Technologies 0.24 4 per month 7.33  0.06  16.86 (12.75) 63.27 
TDTHTrident Digital Tech(0.01)5 per month 0.00 (0.11) 14.89 (14.63) 48.92 
RIMEAlgorhythm Holdings(0.06)9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 13.66 (15.79) 54.66 

Other Forecasting Options for AtlasClear Holdings

For every potential investor in AtlasClear, whether a beginner or expert, AtlasClear Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AtlasClear Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AtlasClear. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AtlasClear Holdings' price trends.

AtlasClear Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AtlasClear Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AtlasClear Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AtlasClear Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AtlasClear Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AtlasClear Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AtlasClear Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AtlasClear Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AtlasClear Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AtlasClear Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of AtlasClear Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AtlasClear Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlasclear stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for AtlasClear Holdings

The number of cover stories for AtlasClear Holdings depends on current market conditions and AtlasClear Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AtlasClear Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AtlasClear Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

AtlasClear Holdings Short Properties

AtlasClear Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when AtlasClear Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AtlasClear Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AtlasClear Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AtlasClear Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments7.5 B
When determining whether AtlasClear Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AtlasClear Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Atlasclear Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Atlasclear Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AtlasClear Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in AtlasClear Stock please use our How to Invest in AtlasClear Holdings guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is there potential for Communications Equipment market expansion? Will AtlasClear introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AtlasClear Holdings. If investors know AtlasClear will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about AtlasClear Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(40.97)
Revenue Per Share
0.588
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.516
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Understanding AtlasClear Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects AtlasClear's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what AtlasClear Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push AtlasClear Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that AtlasClear Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AtlasClear Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, AtlasClear Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.