Acuity Brands Stock Forward View
| AYI Stock | USD 313.52 1.36 0.44% |
Acuity Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Acuity Brands' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Acuity Brands' share price is approaching 37. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Acuity Brands, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Acuity Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acuity Brands from the perspective of Acuity Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acuity Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 320.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 404.02. Acuity Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 313.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acuity Brands to cross-verify your projections. Acuity Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acuity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acuity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acuity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Acuity Brands Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acuity Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 320.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.62, mean absolute percentage error of 85.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 404.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acuity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acuity Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Acuity Brands Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Acuity Brands | Acuity Brands Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Acuity Brands Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Acuity Brands' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acuity Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 318.64 and 323.06, respectively. We have considered Acuity Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acuity Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acuity Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.5539 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.6232 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0188 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 404.0154 |
Predictive Modules for Acuity Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acuity Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acuity Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acuity Brands After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acuity Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acuity Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acuity Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acuity Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acuity Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acuity Brands' historical news coverage. Acuity Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 311.31 and 315.73, respectively. We have considered Acuity Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acuity Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acuity Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acuity Brands Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acuity Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acuity Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acuity Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
313.52 | 313.52 | 0.00 |
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Acuity Brands Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Acuity Brands is traded for 313.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Acuity is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Acuity Brands is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 313.52. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Acuity Brands was presently reported as 91.61. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4. Acuity Brands recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. The firm had 1:1 split on the 2nd of May 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acuity Brands to cross-verify your projections.Acuity Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acuity Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acuity Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Acuity Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acuity Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLH | Clean Harbors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | 0.19 | 3.79 | (1.44) | 7.76 | |
| CR | Crane Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.28 | (2.32) | 15.15 | |
| ERJ | Embraer SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | 0 | 3.07 | (3.90) | 8.04 | |
| PAC | Grupo Aeroportuario del | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.88 | 0.25 | 2.70 | (1.98) | 9.22 | |
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | 0.07 | 4.50 | (3.27) | 10.98 | |
| WMS | Advanced Drainage Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | 0.06 | 3.31 | (2.33) | 11.59 | |
| SWK | Stanley Black Decker | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.11 | 4.60 | (2.60) | 10.50 | |
| STRL | Sterling Construction | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.45 | 0.01 | 5.34 | (6.91) | 21.66 | |
| BAH | Booz Allen Hamilton | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.43 | 0.02 | 4.39 | (4.05) | 14.88 | |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.21 | 3.93 | (2.56) | 8.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for Acuity Brands
For every potential investor in Acuity, whether a beginner or expert, Acuity Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acuity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acuity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acuity Brands' price trends.Acuity Brands Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acuity Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acuity Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acuity Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Acuity Brands Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acuity Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acuity Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acuity Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Acuity Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Acuity Brands Risk Indicators
The analysis of Acuity Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acuity Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acuity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Acuity Brands
The number of cover stories for Acuity Brands depends on current market conditions and Acuity Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acuity Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acuity Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Acuity Brands Short Properties
Acuity Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Acuity Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acuity Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acuity Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acuity Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 422.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acuity Brands to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Acuity Stock please use our How to Invest in Acuity Brands guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Acuity introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acuity Brands. If investors know Acuity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Acuity Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Acuity Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Acuity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Acuity Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Acuity Brands' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Acuity Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Acuity Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Acuity Brands' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Acuity Brands represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Acuity Brands' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.