Barings BDC Stock Forward View
| BBDC Stock | USD 9.12 0.07 0.77% |
Barings Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Barings BDC stock prices and determine the direction of Barings BDC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Barings BDC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Barings BDC's share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Barings BDC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Barings BDC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Barings BDC from the perspective of Barings BDC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Barings BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 9.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.69. Barings BDC after-hype prediction price | USD 9.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barings BDC to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Barings Stock refer to our How to Trade Barings Stock guide.Barings BDC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Barings price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Barings using various technical indicators. When you analyze Barings charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Barings BDC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Barings BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 9.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Barings Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Barings BDC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Barings BDC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Barings BDC | Barings BDC Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Barings BDC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Barings BDC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Barings BDC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.06 and 9.97, respectively. We have considered Barings BDC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Barings BDC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Barings BDC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.375 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0768 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0087 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.6862 |
Predictive Modules for Barings BDC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barings BDC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barings BDC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Barings BDC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Barings BDC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Barings BDC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Barings BDC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Barings BDC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Barings BDC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Barings BDC's historical news coverage. Barings BDC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.17 and 10.07, respectively. We have considered Barings BDC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Barings BDC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barings BDC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Barings BDC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Barings BDC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Barings BDC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Barings BDC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.12 | 9.12 | 0.00 |
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Barings BDC Hype Timeline
Barings BDC is currently traded for 9.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Barings is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Barings BDC is about 6333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.12. About 47.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Barings BDC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.71. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barings BDC to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Barings Stock refer to our How to Trade Barings Stock guide.Barings BDC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Barings BDC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Barings BDC's future price movements. Getting to know how Barings BDC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Barings BDC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATLC | Atlanticus Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.64 | (5.57) | 14.61 | |
| BCSF | Bain Capital Specialty | 0.10 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.93 | (1.87) | 6.32 | |
| CGBD | Carlyle Secured Lending | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | (0.03) | 2.23 | (2.09) | 5.52 | |
| NRDS | Nerdwallet | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.44 | 0.03 | 4.66 | (4.58) | 19.33 | |
| EZPW | EZCORP Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.10 | 3.08 | (2.56) | 9.31 | |
| PFLT | PennantPark Floating Rate | 0.10 | 11 per month | 0.74 | 0.07 | 1.95 | (1.50) | 4.17 | |
| KBDC | Kayne Anderson BDC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | (0.02) | 2.84 | (2.35) | 6.04 | |
| JCAP | Jefferson Capital Common | (0.08) | 11 per month | 2.36 | 0.07 | 4.12 | (2.98) | 17.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Barings BDC
For every potential investor in Barings, whether a beginner or expert, Barings BDC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Barings Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Barings. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Barings BDC's price trends.Barings BDC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Barings BDC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Barings BDC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Barings BDC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Barings BDC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Barings BDC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Barings BDC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Barings BDC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Barings BDC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Barings BDC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Barings BDC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Barings BDC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting barings stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7068 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8638 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9517 | |||
| Variance | 0.9058 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9967 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7461 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Barings BDC
The number of cover stories for Barings BDC depends on current market conditions and Barings BDC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Barings BDC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Barings BDC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Barings BDC Short Properties
Barings BDC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Barings BDC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Barings BDC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Barings BDC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barings BDC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barings BDC to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Barings Stock refer to our How to Trade Barings Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Barings diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barings BDC. Projected growth potential of Barings fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Barings BDC data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Barings BDC requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Barings's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Barings BDC's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Barings BDC's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Barings BDC's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Barings BDC should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Barings BDC's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.