Brinks Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BCO Stock | USD 126.63 1.96 1.57% |
Brinks Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Brinks' stock price is about 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brinks, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Brinks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brinks Company from the perspective of Brinks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brinks Company on the next trading day is expected to be 126.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.12. Brinks after-hype prediction price | USD 126.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brinks to cross-verify your projections. Brinks Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brinks price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brinks using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brinks charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Brinks Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brinks Company on the next trading day is expected to be 126.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40, mean absolute percentage error of 4.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brinks Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brinks' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brinks Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brinks | Brinks Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Brinks Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Brinks' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brinks' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 124.24 and 127.92, respectively. We have considered Brinks' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brinks stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brinks stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6977 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3715 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.402 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 84.1179 |
Predictive Modules for Brinks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brinks Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brinks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brinks After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brinks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brinks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brinks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brinks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brinks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brinks' historical news coverage. Brinks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 124.79 and 128.47, respectively. We have considered Brinks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brinks is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brinks Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brinks Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brinks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brinks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brinks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
126.63 | 126.63 | 0.00 |
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Brinks Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Brinks Company is traded for 126.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Brinks is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Brinks is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 126.63. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.83. Brinks Company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. The entity had 51:50 split on the 7th of January 1977. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brinks to cross-verify your projections.Brinks Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brinks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brinks' future price movements. Getting to know how Brinks' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brinks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECG | Everus Construction Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.49 | 0 | 5.15 | (4.97) | 20.64 | |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.18 | 2.34 | (1.13) | 5.83 | |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | 0.14 | 4.46 | (2.62) | 11.23 | |
| POWL | Powell Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.91 | 0.08 | 4.45 | (5.25) | 15.35 | |
| OMAB | Grupo Aeroportuario del | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.88 | 0.19 | 4.87 | (1.79) | 10.36 | |
| BZ | Kanzhun Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.74 | (2.95) | 11.69 | |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | (0.01) | 2.85 | (3.15) | 10.04 | |
| LSTR | Landstar System | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.15 | 3.40 | (1.86) | 6.67 | |
| CAR | Avis Budget Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.62 | (3.95) | 10.91 | |
| MMS | Maximus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.1 | 3.42 | (1.91) | 7.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for Brinks
For every potential investor in Brinks, whether a beginner or expert, Brinks' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brinks Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brinks. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brinks' price trends.Brinks Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brinks stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brinks could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brinks by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brinks Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brinks stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brinks shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brinks stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brinks Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Brinks Risk Indicators
The analysis of Brinks' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brinks' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brinks stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Variance | 3.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Brinks
The number of cover stories for Brinks depends on current market conditions and Brinks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brinks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brinks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brinks Short Properties
Brinks' future price predictability will typically decrease when Brinks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brinks Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brinks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brinks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brinks to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Brinks diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brinks. Projected growth potential of Brinks fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Brinks data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Brinks Company requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Brinks's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Brinks' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Brinks' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Brinks' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Brinks should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Brinks' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.