Becton Dickinson Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BDX Stock | USD 201.09 0.83 0.41% |
Becton Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Becton Dickinson's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Becton Dickinson, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Becton Dickinson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Becton Dickinson and from the perspective of Becton Dickinson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Becton Dickinson and on the next trading day is expected to be 207.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.55. Becton Dickinson after-hype prediction price | USD 201.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Becton Dickinson to cross-verify your projections. Becton Dickinson Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Becton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Becton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Becton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Becton Dickinson Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Becton Dickinson and on the next trading day is expected to be 207.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.25, mean absolute percentage error of 15.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Becton Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Becton Dickinson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Becton Dickinson Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Becton Dickinson | Becton Dickinson Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Becton Dickinson Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Becton Dickinson's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Becton Dickinson's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 206.22 and 209.02, respectively. We have considered Becton Dickinson's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Becton Dickinson stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Becton Dickinson stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.8231 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2549 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0169 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 198.5481 |
Predictive Modules for Becton Dickinson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Becton Dickinson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Becton Dickinson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Becton Dickinson After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Becton Dickinson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Becton Dickinson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Becton Dickinson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Becton Dickinson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Becton Dickinson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Becton Dickinson's historical news coverage. Becton Dickinson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 199.69 and 202.49, respectively. We have considered Becton Dickinson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Becton Dickinson is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Becton Dickinson is based on 3 months time horizon.
Becton Dickinson Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Becton Dickinson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Becton Dickinson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Becton Dickinson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
201.09 | 201.09 | 0.00 |
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Becton Dickinson Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Becton Dickinson is traded for 201.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Becton is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Becton Dickinson is about 1044.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 201.12. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Becton Dickinson was currently reported as 88.96. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. Becton Dickinson recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.82. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2026. The firm had 1025:1000 split on the 1st of April 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Becton Dickinson to cross-verify your projections.Becton Dickinson Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Becton Dickinson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Becton Dickinson's future price movements. Getting to know how Becton Dickinson's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Becton Dickinson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EW | Edwards Lifesciences Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.14 | (2.08) | 4.98 | |
| CAH | Cardinal Health | (1.17) | 8 per month | 0.51 | 0.17 | 2.69 | (1.71) | 18.07 | |
| ARGX | argenx NV ADR | 3.55 | 2 per month | 1.53 | 0.01 | 2.29 | (2.04) | 7.04 | |
| ALC | Alcon AG | (0.35) | 8 per month | 0.95 | 0.03 | 3.24 | (1.68) | 6.78 | |
| RMD | ResMed Inc | 4.42 | 8 per month | 1.31 | (0.05) | 2.11 | (2.26) | 5.71 | |
| A | Agilent Technologies | (0.67) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.90 | (2.58) | 7.85 | |
| VEEV | Veeva Systems Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.72 | (3.67) | 11.69 | |
| IDXX | IDEXX Laboratories | (2.22) | 10 per month | 1.38 | 0.03 | 3.61 | (2.82) | 18.94 | |
| IQV | IQVIA Holdings | (2.22) | 8 per month | 0.99 | 0.04 | 2.57 | (1.68) | 6.05 | |
| HLN | Haleon plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.09 | 2.81 | (1.81) | 6.06 |
Other Forecasting Options for Becton Dickinson
For every potential investor in Becton, whether a beginner or expert, Becton Dickinson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Becton Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Becton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Becton Dickinson's price trends.Becton Dickinson Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Becton Dickinson stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Becton Dickinson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Becton Dickinson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Becton Dickinson Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Becton Dickinson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Becton Dickinson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Becton Dickinson stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Becton Dickinson and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 16085.52 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.28) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 200.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 200.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.17 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.83) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.32 |
Becton Dickinson Risk Indicators
The analysis of Becton Dickinson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Becton Dickinson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting becton stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7931 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6289 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Becton Dickinson
The number of cover stories for Becton Dickinson depends on current market conditions and Becton Dickinson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Becton Dickinson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Becton Dickinson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Becton Dickinson Short Properties
Becton Dickinson's future price predictability will typically decrease when Becton Dickinson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Becton Dickinson and often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Becton Dickinson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Becton Dickinson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 287.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 859 M |
Additional Tools for Becton Stock Analysis
When running Becton Dickinson's price analysis, check to measure Becton Dickinson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Becton Dickinson is operating at the current time. Most of Becton Dickinson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Becton Dickinson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Becton Dickinson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Becton Dickinson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.