Broadwind Energy Stock Forward View
| BWEN Stock | USD 3.19 0.05 1.54% |
Broadwind Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Broadwind Energy's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Broadwind Energy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Broadwind Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Broadwind Energy from the perspective of Broadwind Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Broadwind Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 2.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.49. Broadwind Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 3.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Broadwind Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Broadwind price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Broadwind using various technical indicators. When you analyze Broadwind charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Broadwind Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Broadwind Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 2.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Broadwind Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Broadwind Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Broadwind Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Broadwind Energy | Broadwind Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Broadwind Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Broadwind Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Broadwind Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.65, respectively. We have considered Broadwind Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Broadwind Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Broadwind Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.886 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1556 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.051 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.4927 |
Predictive Modules for Broadwind Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Broadwind Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Broadwind Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Broadwind Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Broadwind Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Broadwind Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Broadwind Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Broadwind Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Broadwind Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Broadwind Energy's historical news coverage. Broadwind Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 9.21, respectively. We have considered Broadwind Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Broadwind Energy is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Broadwind Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Broadwind Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Broadwind Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Broadwind Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Broadwind Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 6.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.19 | 3.19 | 0.00 |
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Broadwind Energy Hype Timeline
Broadwind Energy is currently traded for 3.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Broadwind is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on Broadwind Energy is about 18242.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.17. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.12. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Broadwind Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 23rd of August 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Broadwind Energy to cross-verify your projections.Broadwind Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Broadwind Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Broadwind Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Broadwind Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Broadwind Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LASE | Laser Photonics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.83 | (10.57) | 32.49 | |
| PPSI | Pioneer Power Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.22 | 0.02 | 8.30 | (6.91) | 21.83 | |
| GWH | ESS Tech | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.91 | (9.24) | 61.03 | |
| PMEC | Primech Holdings Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.86 | (9.79) | 27.96 | |
| HTLM | HomesToLife | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DPRO | Draganfly | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.34 | (10.22) | 37.73 | |
| SIF | SIFCO Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.96 | (5.38) | 19.66 | |
| TPCS | TechPrecision Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.04 | (0.01) | 5.36 | (5.31) | 16.72 | |
| MESA | MESA Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.26 | 0.02 | 8.97 | (7.95) | 16.91 | |
| MPU | Mega Matrix Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.20 | (12.61) | 44.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Broadwind Energy
For every potential investor in Broadwind, whether a beginner or expert, Broadwind Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Broadwind Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Broadwind. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Broadwind Energy's price trends.Broadwind Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Broadwind Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Broadwind Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Broadwind Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Broadwind Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Broadwind Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Broadwind Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Broadwind Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Broadwind Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Broadwind Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Broadwind Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Broadwind Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting broadwind stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.02 | |||
| Variance | 36.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Broadwind Energy
The number of cover stories for Broadwind Energy depends on current market conditions and Broadwind Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Broadwind Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Broadwind Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Broadwind Energy Short Properties
Broadwind Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Broadwind Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Broadwind Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Broadwind Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Broadwind Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Broadwind Energy to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Broadwind Stock, please use our How to Invest in Broadwind Energy guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Broadwind diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Broadwind Energy. Projected growth potential of Broadwind fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Broadwind Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Broadwind Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Broadwind Energy's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Broadwind Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Broadwind Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Broadwind Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Broadwind Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.