Bankwell Financial Stock Forward View
| BWFG Stock | USD 47.77 0.78 1.66% |
Bankwell Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bankwell Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Bankwell Financial's share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bankwell Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bankwell Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bankwell Financial Group from the perspective of Bankwell Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bankwell Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 48.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.33. Bankwell Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 47.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bankwell Financial to cross-verify your projections. Bankwell Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bankwell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bankwell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bankwell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bankwell Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bankwell Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 48.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 1.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bankwell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bankwell Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bankwell Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bankwell Financial | Bankwell Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bankwell Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bankwell Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bankwell Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.14 and 50.42, respectively. We have considered Bankwell Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bankwell Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bankwell Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.1273 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7759 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0166 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 47.3282 |
Predictive Modules for Bankwell Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bankwell Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bankwell Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bankwell Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bankwell Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bankwell Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bankwell Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bankwell Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bankwell Financial's historical news coverage. Bankwell Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.13 and 49.41, respectively. We have considered Bankwell Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bankwell Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bankwell Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bankwell Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bankwell Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bankwell Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bankwell Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
47.77 | 47.77 | 0.00 |
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Bankwell Financial Hype Timeline
Bankwell Financial is currently traded for 47.77. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bankwell is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bankwell Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.77. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.28. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bankwell Financial last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bankwell Financial to cross-verify your projections.Bankwell Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bankwell Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bankwell Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Bankwell Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bankwell Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USCB | US Century Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.05 | 3.69 | (2.66) | 11.45 | |
| RBB | RBB Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.06 | 3.37 | (2.70) | 10.08 | |
| OBT | Orange County Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.19 | 3.57 | (2.02) | 8.69 | |
| FMAO | Farmers Merchants Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.06 | 4.61 | (3.23) | 10.83 | |
| MVBF | MVB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.07 | 3.40 | (2.69) | 8.93 | |
| MSBI | Midland States Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.29 | 6.49 | (1.65) | 14.42 | |
| WTBA | West Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.07 | 2.76 | (2.19) | 8.75 | |
| PBFS | Pioneer Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.03 | 2.87 | (1.87) | 8.41 | |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | 0.11 | 3.50 | (2.24) | 9.42 | |
| SFST | Southern First Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.15 | 3.74 | (2.14) | 13.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bankwell Financial
For every potential investor in Bankwell, whether a beginner or expert, Bankwell Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bankwell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bankwell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bankwell Financial's price trends.Bankwell Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bankwell Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bankwell Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bankwell Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bankwell Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bankwell Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bankwell Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bankwell Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bankwell Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bankwell Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bankwell Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bankwell Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankwell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Variance | 2.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bankwell Financial
The number of cover stories for Bankwell Financial depends on current market conditions and Bankwell Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bankwell Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bankwell Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bankwell Financial Short Properties
Bankwell Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bankwell Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bankwell Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bankwell Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bankwell Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 325.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bankwell Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Bankwell have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bankwell Financial. Projected growth potential of Bankwell fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Bankwell Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Investors evaluate Bankwell Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bankwell Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bankwell Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bankwell Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bankwell Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bankwell Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.