Churchill Downs Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| CHDN Stock | USD 111.95 1.83 1.61% |
Churchill Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Churchill Downs' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Churchill Downs' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Churchill Downs fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Churchill Downs' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9394 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.0221 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.6554 | Wall Street Target Price 136.4167 |
Using Churchill Downs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Churchill Downs Incorporated from the perspective of Churchill Downs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Churchill Downs using Churchill Downs' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Churchill using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Churchill Downs' stock price.
Churchill Downs Short Interest
An investor who is long Churchill Downs may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Churchill Downs and may potentially protect profits, hedge Churchill Downs with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 102.0598 | Short Percent 0.0468 | Short Ratio 3.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 107.109 |
Churchill Downs Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Churchill Downs' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Churchill. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Churchill can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Churchill Downs Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Churchill Downs' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Churchill Downs.
Churchill Downs Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
Churchill Downs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Churchill Downs Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Churchill Downs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Churchill Downs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Churchill Downs' options are near their expiration.
Churchill Downs after-hype prediction price | USD 111.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Churchill | Build AI portfolio with Churchill Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Churchill Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Churchill Downs' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Churchill Downs' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Churchill Downs stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Churchill Downs' open interest, investors have to compare it to Churchill Downs' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Churchill Downs is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Churchill. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Churchill Downs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Churchill price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Churchill using various technical indicators. When you analyze Churchill charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (1.05) | (0.60) |
| Check Churchill Downs Volatility | Backtest Churchill Downs | Information Ratio |
Churchill Downs Trading Date Momentum
| On January 02 2026 Churchill Downs Incorporated was traded for 111.95 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 113.76 and the lowest listed price was 109.52 . The trading volume for the day was 683 K. The trading history from January 2, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.21% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Churchill Downs to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Churchill Downs
For every potential investor in Churchill, whether a beginner or expert, Churchill Downs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Churchill Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Churchill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Churchill Downs' price trends.Churchill Downs Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Churchill Downs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Churchill Downs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Churchill Downs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Churchill Downs Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Churchill Downs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Churchill Downs' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Churchill Downs Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Churchill Downs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Churchill Downs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Churchill Downs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Churchill Downs Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 25455.65 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.43) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 111.64 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 111.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.60) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.83) |
Churchill Downs Risk Indicators
The analysis of Churchill Downs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Churchill Downs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting churchill stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Churchill Downs
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Churchill Downs position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Churchill Downs will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Churchill Stock
| 0.84 | AGAE | Allied Gaming Entert | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | SBET | Sharplink Gaming Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | MSFT | Microsoft | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | EJH | E Home Household | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | PENN | Penn National Gaming | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Churchill Downs could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Churchill Downs when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Churchill Downs - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Churchill Downs Incorporated to buy it.
The correlation of Churchill Downs is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Churchill Downs moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Churchill Downs moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Churchill Downs can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Churchill Downs to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Churchill Downs. If investors know Churchill will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Churchill Downs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Dividend Share 0.409 | Earnings Share 5.5 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.087 |
The market value of Churchill Downs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Churchill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Churchill Downs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Churchill Downs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Churchill Downs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Churchill Downs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Churchill Downs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Churchill Downs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Churchill Downs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.